Articles | Volume 12, issue 11
The Cryosphere, 12, 3511–3534, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3511-2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 3511–3534, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3511-2018

Research article 12 Nov 2018

Research article | 12 Nov 2018

Exploration of Antarctic Ice Sheet 100-year contribution to sea level rise and associated model uncertainties using the ISSM framework

Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel et al.

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Cited articles

Adhikari, S., Ivins, E. R., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Morlighem, M., and Nowicki, S.: Future Antarctic bed topography and its implications for ice sheet dynamics, Solid Earth, 5, 569–584, https://doi.org/10.5194/se-5-569-2014, 2014. a
Bakker, A. M. R., Wong, T. E., Ruckert, K. L., and Keller, K.: Sea-level projections representing the deeply uncertain contribution of the West Antarctic ice sheet, Sci. Rep., 7, 3880, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-04134-5, 2017. a
Bell, R. E.: The role of subglacial water in ice-sheet mass balance, Nat. Geosci., 1, 297–304, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo186, 2008. a
Bindschadler, R., Nowicki, S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Choi, H., Fastook, J., Granzow, G., Greve, R., Gutowski, G., Herzfeld, U., Jackson, C., Johnson, J., Khroulev, C., Levermann, A., Lipscomb, W., Martin, M., Morlighem, M., Parizek, B., Pollard, D., Price, S., Ren, D., Saito, F.and Sato, T., Seddik, H., Seroussi, H., Takahashi, K., Walker, R., and Wang, W.: Ice-Sheet Model Sensitivities to Environmental Forcing and Their Use in Projecting Future Sea-Level (The SeaRISE Project), J. Glaciol., 59, 195–224, https://doi.org/10.3189/2013JoG12J125, 2013. a
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Using NASA supercomputers and a novel framework, in which Sandia National Laboratories' statistical software is embedded in the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's ice sheet model, we run a range of 100-year warming scenarios for Antarctica. We find that 1.2 m of sea level contribution is achievable, but not likely. Also, we find that bedrock topography beneath the ice drives potential for regional sea level contribution, highlighting the need for accurate bedrock mapping of the ice sheet interior.