Exploration of Antarctic Ice Sheet 100-year contribution to sea level rise and associated model uncertainties using the ISSM framework

Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne; Seroussi, Helene; Schodlok, Michael P.; Larour, Eric Y.; Boening, Carmen; Limonadi, Daniel; Watkins, Michael M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; van den Broeke, Michiel R.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3511-2018

Articles | Volume 12, issue 11

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3511-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3511-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 12, issue 11

Research article

|

12 Nov 2018

Research article |

| 12 Nov 2018

Exploration of Antarctic Ice Sheet 100-year contribution to sea level rise and associated model uncertainties using the ISSM framework

Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Helene Seroussi, Michael P. Schodlok, Eric Y. Larour, Carmen Boening, Daniel Limonadi, Michael M. Watkins, Mathieu Morlighem, and Michiel R. van den Broeke

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Final revised paper (published on 12 Nov 2018)
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Preprint (discussion started on 01 Jun 2018)
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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'review of tc-2018-105', Stephen Cornford, 09 Jul 2018
RC2: 'review of "Exploration of Antarctic Ice Sheet 100-year contribution to sea level rise and associated model uncertainties using the ISSM framework"', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Jul 2018
AC1: 'Authors' response to Reviewer comments', Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, 17 Aug 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel on behalf of the Authors (17 Aug 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Aug 2018) by Olivier Gagliardini

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (11 Sep 2018)

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (12 Sep 2018) by Olivier Gagliardini

AR by Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel on behalf of the Authors (18 Oct 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (26 Oct 2018) by Olivier Gagliardini

AR by Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel on behalf of the Authors (30 Oct 2018) Manuscript

Short summary

Using NASA supercomputers and a novel framework, in which Sandia National Laboratories' statistical software is embedded in the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's ice sheet model, we run a range of 100-year warming scenarios for Antarctica. We find that 1.2 m of sea level contribution is achievable, but not likely. Also, we find that bedrock topography beneath the ice drives potential for regional sea level contribution, highlighting the need for accurate bedrock mapping of the ice sheet interior.