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Volume 10, issue 6
The Cryosphere, 10, 2693–2719, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2693-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: The evolution of permafrost in mountain regions

The Cryosphere, 10, 2693–2719, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2693-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 15 Nov 2016

Research article | 15 Nov 2016

Semi-automated calibration method for modelling of mountain permafrost evolution in Switzerland

Antoine Marmy et al.

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Cited articles

Anisimov, O. A.: Potential feedback of thawing permafrost to the global climate system through methane emission, Environ. Res. Lett., 2, 045016, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045016, 2007.
Anthony, K. M. W., Anthony, P., Grosse, G., and Chanton, J.: Geologic methane seeps along boundaries of Arctic permafrost thaw and melting glaciers, Nat. Geosci., 5, 419–426, 2012.
Arenson, L. U., Hoelzle, M., and Springman, S.: Borehole deformation measurements and internal structure of some rock glaciers in Switzerland, Permafrost Periglac., 13, 117–135, 2002.
Arenson, L. U., Hauck, C., Hilbich, C., Seward, L., Yamamoto, Y., and Springman, S. M.: Sub-surface heterogeneities in the Murtèl-Corvatsch rock glacier, Switzerland, in: Proceedings of the Sixth Canadian Permafrost Conference, Calgary, Alta, 12–16, 2010.
Atchley, A. L., Coon, E. T., Painter, S. L., Harp, D. R., and Wilson, C. J.: Influences and interactions of inundation, peat, and snow on active layer thickness, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 5116–5123, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068550, 2016.
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This paper presents a new semi-automated method to calibrate the 1-D soil model COUP. It is the first time (as far as we know) that this approach is developed for mountain permafrost. It is applied at six test sites in the Swiss Alps. In a second step, the calibrated model is used for RCM-based simulations with specific downscaling of RCM data to the borehole scale. We show projections of the permafrost evolution at the six sites until the end of the century and according to the A1B scenario.
This paper presents a new semi-automated method to calibrate the 1-D soil model COUP. It is the...
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