Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
The Cryosphere, 12, 1249–1271, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1249-2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 1249–1271, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1249-2018
Research article
10 Apr 2018
Research article | 10 Apr 2018

Multi-component ensembles of future meteorological and natural snow conditions for 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range, Northern French Alps

Deborah Verfaillie et al.

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Revised manuscript not accepted

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This article addresses local changes of seasonal snow and its meteorological drivers, at 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range in the Northern French Alps, for the period 1960–2100. We use an ensemble of adjusted RCM outputs consistent with IPCC AR5 GCM outputs (RCPs 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) and the snowpack model Crocus. Beyond scenario-based approach, global temperature levels on the order of 1.5 °C and 2 °C above preindustrial levels correspond to 25 and 32% reduction of mean snow depth.