Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1249-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1249-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
10 Apr 2018
Research article |
| 10 Apr 2018
| 10 Apr 2018
Multi-component ensembles of future meteorological and natural snow conditions for 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range, Northern French Alps
Deborah Verfaillie
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM UMR 3589, Centre d'Études de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Matthieu Lafaysse
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM UMR 3589, Centre d'Études de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Michel Déqué
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM UMR 3589, Toulouse, France
Nicolas Eckert
Université Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR ETGR, Grenoble, France
Yves Lejeune
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM UMR 3589, Centre d'Études de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM UMR 3589, Centre d'Études de la Neige, Grenoble, France
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- Respective influence of geomorphologic and climate conditions on debris-flow occurrence in the Northern French Alps V. Jomelli et al. 10.1007/s10346-019-01195-7
58 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Performance of precipitation phase partitioning methods and their impact on snowpack evolution in a humid continental climate N. Leroux et al. 10.1002/hyp.15028
- Long‐term trends (1958–2017) in snow cover duration and depth in the Pyrenees J. López‐Moreno et al. 10.1002/joc.6571
- Influence of snow and meteorological conditions on snow‐avalanche deposit volumes and consequences for road‐network vulnerability H. Kern et al. 10.1002/ldr.4697
- Fiabilité de l’enneigement et disponibilité des ressources en eau pour la production de neige dans les domaines skiables du Département de l’Isère (France), en conditions climatiques actuelles et futures M. Gerbaux et al. 10.4000/rga.6724
- Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation P. Spandre et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019
- Assessing Climate Change Impact on the Spatial Dependence of Extreme Snow Depth Maxima in the French Alps G. Nicolet et al. 10.1029/2018WR022763
- Monitoring the Seasonal Hydrology of Alpine Wetlands in Response to Snow Cover Dynamics and Summer Climate: A Novel Approach with Sentinel-2 B. Carlson et al. 10.3390/rs12121959
- The impact of climate change and glacier mass loss on the hydrology in the Mont-Blanc massif L. Laurent et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-67379-7
- Extreme avalanche cycles: Return levels and probability distributions depending on snow and meteorological conditions G. Evin et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100344
- Brief communication: Non-linear sensitivity of glacier mass balance to climate attested by temperature-index models C. Vincent & E. Thibert 10.5194/tc-17-1989-2023
- Drought offsets the positive effect of summer heat waves on the canopy greenness of mountain grasslands M. Corona-Lozada et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107617
- Snow drought reduces water transit times in headwater streams C. Segura 10.1002/hyp.14437
- Freins et leviers de l’adaptation au changement climatique : représentations des acteurs de moyenne montagne L. Céline et al. 10.4000/vertigo.36477
- Partitioning Uncertainty Components of an Incomplete Ensemble of Climate Projections Using Data Augmentation G. Evin et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0606.1
- TopoCLIM: rapid topography-based downscaling of regional climate model output in complex terrain v1.1 J. Fiddes et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-1753-2022
- Simulated hydrological effects of grooming and snowmaking in a ski resort on the local water balance S. Morin et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4257-2023
- Simple field-based surveys reveal climate-related anomalies in mountain grassland production K. Grigulis & S. Lavorel 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106519
- Pan-European meteorological and snow indicators of climate change impact on ski tourism S. Morin et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100215
- Variabilité du manteau neigeux des Alpes Européennes entre 1950 et 2016 dans un contexte de changement climatique : revue bibliographique G. Klein 10.4267/climatologie.1325
- The S2M meteorological and snow cover reanalysis over the French mountainous areas: description and evaluation (1958–2021) M. Vernay et al. 10.5194/essd-14-1707-2022
- Future Heat Waves in Different European Capitals Based on Climate Change Indicators J. Junk et al. 10.3390/ijerph16203959
- Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts P. Spandre et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8
- 21st Century alpine climate change S. Kotlarski et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06303-3
- Natural climate variability is an important aspect of future projections of snow water resources and rain-on-snow events M. Schirmer et al. 10.5194/tc-16-3469-2022
- Rain-on-snow responses to warmer Pyrenees: a sensitivity analysis using a physically based snow hydrological model J. Bonsoms et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-245-2024
- Climate Trends Impact on the Snowfall Regime in Mediterranean Mountain Areas: Future Scenario Assessment in Sierra Nevada (Spain) M. Pérez-Palazón et al. 10.3390/w10060720
- Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble L. Mudryk et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
- Do changes in snow conditions have an impact on snowmaking investments in French Alps ski resorts? L. Berard-Chenu et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01933-w
- Saharan dust events in the European Alps: role in snowmelt and geochemical characterization B. Di Mauro et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1147-2019
- Earlier Snowmelt Advances Breeding Phenology of the Common Frog (Rana temporaria) but Increases the Risk of Frost Exposure and Wetland Drying M. Bison et al. 10.3389/fevo.2021.645585
- A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps E. Le Roux et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022
- Using Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) approaches to support climate change adaptation of Swiss Ski Resorts S. Ashraf Vaghefi et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.09.005
- Development and evaluation of a method to identify potential release areas of snow avalanches based on watershed delineation C. Duvillier et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1383-2023
- Propagating information from snow observations with CrocO ensemble data assimilation system: a 10-years case study over a snow depth observation network B. Cluzet et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1281-2022
- Strong links between plant traits and microbial activities but different abiotic drivers in mountain grasslands S. Weil et al. 10.1111/jbi.14235
- Mapping release and propagation areas of permafrost-related rock slope failures in the French Alps: A new methodological approach at regional scale M. Cathala et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2023.109032
- Best environmental predictors of breeding phenology differ with elevation in a common woodland bird species M. Bison et al. 10.1002/ece3.6684
- Observed and predicted trends in Icelandic snow conditions for the period 1930–2100 D. Eythorsson et al. 10.5194/tc-17-51-2023
- Atmospheric circulation conditions and snowy weather in the Southern Alps: Case of the Isola 2000 weather station G. Guerin & N. Martin 10.1016/j.polar.2022.100922
- Assessing the effects of earlier snow melt-out on alpine shrub growth: The sooner the better? L. Francon et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106455
- Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Snowpack Simulations in Complex Alpine Terrain Using Satellite and In Situ Observations J. Revuelto et al. 10.3390/rs10081171
- A framework to assess future water-resource under climate change in northern Morocco using hydro-climatic modelling and water-withdrawal scenarios Y. Hrour et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101465
- Climate change impacts on snow avalanche activity and related risks N. Eckert et al. 10.1038/s43017-024-00540-2
- Projection of snowfall extremes in the French Alps as a function of elevation and global warming level E. Le Roux et al. 10.5194/tc-17-4691-2023
- Le changement climatique en montagne : impacts, risques et adaptation S. Morin 10.3917/re1.106.0037
- Potential and limitations of convection‐permitting CNRM‐AROME climate modelling in the French Alps D. Monteiro et al. 10.1002/joc.7637
- Snow Reliability and Water Availability for Snowmaking in the Ski resorts of the Isère Département (French Alps), Under Current and Future Climate Conditions M. Gerbaux et al. 10.4000/rga.6742
- Climate, Landforms, and Geology Affect Baseflow Sources in a Mountain Catchment C. Segura et al. 10.1029/2018WR023551
- Anthropogenic climate change versus internal climate variability: impacts on snow cover in the Swiss Alps F. Willibald et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2909-2020
- Overloaded! Critical revision and a new conceptual approach for snow indicators in ski tourism B. Abegg et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01867-3
- Facing drought: exposure, vulnerability and adaptation options of extensive livestock systems in the French Pre-Alps C. Deléglise et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100568
- Suitability analysis of ski areas in China: an integrated study based on natural and socioeconomic conditions J. Deng et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2149-2019
- A transdisciplinary method, knowledge model and management framework for climate change adaptation in mountain areas applied in the Vercors, France L. Tschanz et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01862-3
- Snow sensitivity to temperature and precipitation change during compound cold–hot and wet–dry seasons in the Pyrenees J. Bonsoms et al. 10.5194/tc-17-1307-2023
- The Avalanche of Les Fonts d’Arinsal (Andorra): An Example of a Pure Powder, Dry Snow Avalanche G. Furdada et al. 10.3390/geosciences10040126
- 57 years (1960–2017) of snow and meteorological observations from a mid-altitude mountain site (Col de Porte, France, 1325 m of altitude) Y. Lejeune et al. 10.5194/essd-11-71-2019
- Numerical modeling of the dynamics of the Mer de Glace glacier, French Alps: comparison with past observations and forecasting of near-future evolution V. Peyaud et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3979-2020
- Respective influence of geomorphologic and climate conditions on debris-flow occurrence in the Northern French Alps V. Jomelli et al. 10.1007/s10346-019-01195-7
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
This article addresses local changes of seasonal snow and its meteorological drivers, at 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range in the Northern French Alps, for the period 1960–2100. We use an ensemble of adjusted RCM outputs consistent with IPCC AR5 GCM outputs (RCPs 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) and the snowpack model Crocus. Beyond scenario-based approach, global temperature levels on the order of 1.5 °C and 2 °C above preindustrial levels correspond to 25 and 32% reduction of mean snow depth.
This article addresses local changes of seasonal snow and its meteorological drivers, at 1500 m...
