Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-517-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-517-2017
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
16 Feb 2017
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 16 Feb 2017

How much can we save? Impact of different emission scenarios on future snow cover in the Alps

Christoph Marty, Sebastian Schlögl, Mathias Bavay, and Michael Lehning

Related authors

Technical note: Literature based approach to estimate future snow
Bettina Richter and Christoph Marty
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3518,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3518, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
Short summary
SPASS – new gridded climatological snow datasets for Switzerland: Potential and limitations
Christoph Marty, Adrien Michel, Tobias Jonas, Cynthia Steijn, Regula Muelchi, and Sven Kotlarski
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-413,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-413, 2025
Short summary
SnowQM 1.0: a fast R package for bias-correcting spatial fields of snow water equivalent using quantile mapping
Adrien Michel, Johannes Aschauer, Tobias Jonas, Stefanie Gubler, Sven Kotlarski, and Christoph Marty
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 8969–8988, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8969-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8969-2024, 2024
Short summary
Snow depth sensitivity to mean temperature, precipitation, and elevation in the Austrian and Swiss Alps
Matthew Switanek, Gernot Resch, Andreas Gobiet, Daniel Günther, Christoph Marty, and Wolfgang Schöner
The Cryosphere, 18, 6005–6026, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-6005-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-6005-2024, 2024
Short summary
An empirical model to calculate snow depth from daily snow water equivalent: SWE2HS 1.0
Johannes Aschauer, Adrien Michel, Tobias Jonas, and Christoph Marty
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 4063–4081, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4063-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4063-2023, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Seasonal Snow
A random-forest-derived 35-year snow phenology record reveals climate trends in the Yukon River Basin
Caleb G. Pan, Kristofer Lasko, Sean P. Griffin, John S. Kimball, Jinyang Du, Tate G. Meehan, and Peter B. Kirchner
The Cryosphere, 19, 2797–2819, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2797-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2797-2025, 2025
Short summary
Insights into microphysical and optical properties of typical mineral dust within urban snowpack via wet and dry deposition in Changchun, northeastern China
Tenglong Shi, Jiayao Wang, Daizhou Zhang, Jiecan Cui, Zihang Wang, Yue Zhou, Wei Pu, Yang Bai, Zhigang Han, Meng Liu, Yanbiao Liu, Hongbin Xie, Minghui Yang, Ying Li, Meng Gao, and Xin Wang
The Cryosphere, 19, 2821–2835, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2821-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2821-2025, 2025
Short summary
Dynamic identification of snow phenology in the Northern Hemisphere
Le Wang, Xin Miao, Xinyun Hu, Yizhuo Li, Bo Qiu, Jun Ge, and Weidong Guo
The Cryosphere, 19, 2733–2750, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2733-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2733-2025, 2025
Short summary
Trends in the annual snow melt-out day over the French Alps and Pyrenees from 38 years of high-resolution satellite data (1986–2023)
Zacharie Barrou Dumont, Simon Gascoin, Jordi Inglada, Andreas Dietz, Jonas Köhler, Matthieu Lafaysse, Diego Monteiro, Carlo Carmagnola, Arthur Bayle, Jean-Pierre Dedieu, Olivier Hagolle, and Philippe Choler
The Cryosphere, 19, 2407–2429, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2407-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2407-2025, 2025
Short summary
Sublimation measurements of tundra and taiga snowpack in Alaska
Kelsey A. Stockert, Eugénie S. Euskirchen, and Svetlana L. Stuefer
The Cryosphere, 19, 1739–1755, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1739-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1739-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Abegg, B., Agrawala, S., Crick, F., and de Montfalcon, A.: Climate change impacts and adaptation in winter tourism, in: Climate Change in the European Alps, edited by: Agrawala, S., OECD, Paris, France, 25–60, 2007.
Bartolini, E., Claps, P., and D'Odorico, P.: Interannual variability of winter precipitation in the European Alps: relations with the North Atlantic Oscillation., Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 17–25, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-17-2009, 2009.
Bavay, M. and Egger, T.: MeteoIO 2.4.2: a preprocessing library for meteorological data, Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 3135–3151, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-3135-2014, 2014.
Bavay, M., Lehning, M., Jonas, T., and Löwe, H.: Simulations of future snow cover and discharge in Alpine headwater catchments, Hydrol. Process., 23, 95–108, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7195, 2009.
Bavay, M., Grünewald, T., and Lehning, M.: Response of snow cover and runoff to climate change in high Alpine catchments of Eastern Switzerland, Adv. Water Resour., 55, 4–16, 2013.
Download
Short summary
We simulate the future snow cover in the Alps with the help of a snow model, which is fed by projected temperature and precipitation changes from a large set of climate models. The results demonstrate that snow below 1000 m is probably a rare guest at the end of the century. Moreover, even above 3000 m the simulations show a drastic decrease in snow depth. However, the results reveal that the projected snow cover reduction can be mitigated by 50 % if we manage to keep global warming below 2°.
Share