Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-517-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-517-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
How much can we save? Impact of different emission scenarios on future snow cover in the Alps
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, 7260 Davos, Switzerland
Sebastian Schlögl
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, 7260 Davos, Switzerland
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
Mathias Bavay
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, 7260 Davos, Switzerland
Michael Lehning
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, 7260 Davos, Switzerland
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
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- Upward range shift of a dominant alpine shrub related to 50 years of snow cover change S. Zong et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112773
- Anthropogenic climate change versus internal climate variability: impacts on snow cover in the Swiss Alps F. Willibald et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2909-2020
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- Projected cryospheric and hydrological impacts of 21st century climate change in the Ötztal Alps (Austria) simulated using a physically based approach F. Hanzer et al. 10.5194/hess-22-1593-2018
- Dry-Season Snow Cover Losses in the Andes (18°–40°S) driven by Changes in Large-Scale Climate Modes R. Cordero et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-53486-7
- Skill Transfer from Meteorological to Runoff Forecasts in Glacierized Catchments S. Gindraux & D. Farinotti 10.3390/hydrology5020026
- Modelling the Athabasca watershed snow response to a changing climate Y. Dibike et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.01.003
- Long-term changes in central European river discharge for 1869–2016: impact of changing snow covers, reservoir constructions and an intensified hydrological cycle E. Rottler et al. 10.5194/hess-24-1721-2020
- Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research K. van Ginkel et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395
- Freezing in a warming climate: Marked declines of a subnivean hibernator after a snow drought A. Johnston et al. 10.1002/ece3.7126
- The development of ski areas and its relation to the Alpine economy in Switzerland P. Troxler et al. 10.1186/s41937-024-00127-0
- Ecophysiology of Chloromonas hindakii sp. nov. (Chlorophyceae), Causing Orange Snow Blooms at Different Light Conditions L. Procházková et al. 10.3390/microorganisms7100434
- Snowfall Fraction, Cold Content, and Energy Balance Changes Drive Differential Response to Simulated Warming in an Alpine and Subalpine Snowpack K. Jennings & N. Molotch 10.3389/feart.2020.00186
- Tree-ring δ18O from an Alpine catchment reveals changes in glacier stream water inputs between 1980 and 2010 G. Leonelli et al. 10.1080/15230430.2019.1623607
- Future changes in snowpack will impact seasonal runoff and low flows in Czechia M. Jenicek et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100899
- An investigation into the potential for upward range expansion in high‐montane species on the roof of the world F. White et al. 10.1111/plb.13630
- The benefits of homogenising snow depth series – Impacts on decadal trends and extremes for Switzerland M. Buchmann et al. 10.5194/tc-17-653-2023
- Snowmobile impacts on snowpack physical and mechanical properties S. Fassnacht et al. 10.5194/tc-12-1121-2018
- Vulnerability of ski tourism towards internal climate variability and climate change in the Swiss Alps F. Willibald et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147054
- Simulation of the impact of future changes in climate on the hydrology of Bow River headwater basins in the Canadian Rockies X. Fang & J. Pomeroy 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129566
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Discussed (final revised paper)
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We simulate the future snow cover in the Alps with the help of a snow model, which is fed by projected temperature and precipitation changes from a large set of climate models. The results demonstrate that snow below 1000 m is probably a rare guest at the end of the century. Moreover, even above 3000 m the simulations show a drastic decrease in snow depth. However, the results reveal that the projected snow cover reduction can be mitigated by 50 % if we manage to keep global warming below 2°.
We simulate the future snow cover in the Alps with the help of a snow model, which is fed by...