Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4257-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4257-2024
Research article
 | 
19 Sep 2024
Research article |  | 19 Sep 2024

Antarctic sensitivity to oceanic melting parameterizations

Antonio Juarez-Martinez, Javier Blasco, Alexander Robinson, Marisa Montoya, and Jorge Alvarez-Solas

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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-248,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-248, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).
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Cited articles

Bell, R. E. and Seroussi, H.: History, mass loss, structure, and dynamic behavior of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, Science, 367, 1321–1325, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz5489, 2020. a
Berdahl, M., Leguy, G., Lipscomb, W. H., Urban, N. M., and Hoffman, M. J.: Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM), The Cryosphere, 17, 1513–1543, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1513-2023, 2023. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h
Blasco, J., Alvarez-Solas, J., Robinson, A., and Montoya, M.: Exploring the impact of atmospheric forcing and basal drag on the Antarctic Ice Sheet under Last Glacial Maximum conditions, The Cryosphere, 15, 215–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-215-2021, 2021. a
Bracegirdle, T., Krinner, G., Tonelli, M., Haumann, A., Naughten, K., Rackow, T., Roach, L., and Wainer, I.: Twenty first century changes in Antarctic and Southern Ocean surface climate in CMIP6, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 21, e984, https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.984, 2020. a, b
Bulthuis, K., Arnst, M., Sun, S., and Pattyn, F.: Uncertainty quantification of the multi-centennial response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate change, The Cryosphere, 13, 1349–1380, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1349-2019, 2019. a
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We present sea level projections for Antarctica in the context of ISMIP6-2300 with several forcings but extend the simulations to 2500, showing that more than 3 m of sea level contribution could be reached. We also test the sensitivity on a basal melting parameter and determine the timing of the loss of ice in the west region. All the simulations were carried out with the ice sheet model Yelmo.
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