Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 9, 719–735, 2015
The Cryosphere, 9, 719–735, 2015
Research article
17 Apr 2015
Research article | 17 Apr 2015

Future permafrost conditions along environmental gradients in Zackenberg, Greenland

S. Westermann et al.

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Cited articles

Bay, C.: Vegetation mapping of Zackenberg valley, Northeast Greenland, Danish Polar Center and Botanical Museum, University of Copenhagen, 75 pp., 1998.
Brown, J., Hinkel, K., and Nelson, F.: The circumpolar active layer monitoring (CALM) program: research designs and initial results, Polar Geogr., 24, 166–258, 2000.
Christensen, J. H., Christensen, O. B., Lopez, P., van Meijgaard, E., and Botzet, M.: The HIRHAM 4 regional atmospheric climate model, Scientific Report 96-4, Danish Meteorological Institute, 51 pp., 1996.
Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Jacoby, H., Pitcher, H., Reilly, J., and Richels, R.: Scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric concentrations, Sub-report of Synthesis and Assessment Product – 2.1. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington DC, 2007.
Clauser, C. and Huenges, E.: Thermal conductivity of rocks and minerals, AGU Reference Shelf, 3, 105–126, 1995.
Short summary
The development of ground temperatures in permafrost areas is influenced by many factors varying on different spatial and temporal scales. We present numerical simulations of ground temperatures for the Zackenberg valley in NE Greenland, which take into account the spatial variability of snow depths, surface and ground properties at a scale of 10m. The ensemble of the model grid cells suggests a spatial variability of annual average ground temperatures of up to 5°C.