Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
The Cryosphere, 9, 1105–1128, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-1105-2015
The Cryosphere, 9, 1105–1128, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-1105-2015

Research article 27 May 2015

Research article | 27 May 2015

Modelling glacier change in the Everest region, Nepal Himalaya

J. M. Shea et al.

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Cited articles

Adhikari, S. and Huybrechts, P.: Numerical modelling of historical front variations and the 21st-century evolution of glacier AX010, Nepal Himalaya, Ann. Glaciol., 50, 27–34, 2009.
Ageta, Y. and Higuchi, K.: Estimation of mass balance components of a summer-accumulation type glacier in the Nepal Himalaya, Geografiska Annaler Series A. Physical Geography, 66A, 249–255, 1984.
Ageta, Y. and Kadota, T.: Predictions of changes of glacier mass balance in the Nepal Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau: a case study of air temperature increase for three glaciers, Ann. Glaciol., 16, 89–94, 1992.
Asahi, K.: Equilibrium-line altitudes of the present and Last Glacial Maximum in the eastern Nepal Himalayas and their implications for SW monsoon climate, Quaternary Int., 212, 26–34, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2008.08.004, 2010.
Ashfaq, M., Shi, Y., Tung, W.-w., Trapp, R. J., Gao, X., Pal, J. S., and Diffenbaugh, N. S.: Suppression of south Asian summer monsoon precipitation in the 21st century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L01704, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036500, 2009.
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Short summary
A glacier mass balance and redistribution model that integrates field observations and downscaled climate fields is developed to examine glacier sensitivity to future climate in the Everest region of Nepal. The modelled sensitivity of glaciers to future climate change is high, and glacier mass loss is sustained through the 21st century for both middle- and high-emission scenarios. Projected temperature increases will expose large glacier areas to melt and reduce snow accumulations.