Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
The Cryosphere, 15, 5473–5482, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-5473-2021
The Cryosphere, 15, 5473–5482, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-5473-2021
Research article
08 Dec 2021
Research article | 08 Dec 2021

Perspectives on future sea ice and navigability in the Arctic

Jinlei Chen et al.

Related authors

A comprehensive dataset of microbial abundance, dissolved organic carbon, and nitrogen in Tibetan Plateau glaciers
Yongqin Liu, Pengcheng Fang, Bixi Guo, Mukan Ji, Pengfei Liu, Guannan Mao, Baiqing Xu, Shichang Kang, and Junzhi Liu
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 2303–2314, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2303-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2303-2022, 2022
Short summary
Insight into seasonal aerosol concentrations, meteorological influence, and transport over the Pan-Third Pole region using multi-sensors satellite and model simulation
Mukesh Rai, Shichang Kang, Junhua Yang, Maheswar Rupakheti, Dipesh Rupakheti, Lekhendra Tripathee, Yuling Hu, and Xintong Chen
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2022-199,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2022-199, 2022
Preprint under review for ACP
Short summary
First observation of mercury species on an important water vapor channel in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Huiming Lin, Yindong Tong, Chenghao Yu, Long Chen, Xiufeng Yin, Qianggong Zhang, Shichang Kang, Lun Luo, James Schauer, Benjamin de Foy, and Xuejun Wang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 2651–2668, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2651-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2651-2022, 2022
Short summary
Black carbon and organic carbon dataset over the Third Pole
Shichang Kang, Yulan Zhang, Pengfei Chen, Junming Guo, Qianggong Zhang, Zhiyuan Cong, Susan Kaspari, Lekhendra Tripathee, Tanguang Gao, Hewen Niu, Xinyue Zhong, Xintong Chen, Zhaofu Hu, Xiaofei Li, Yang Li, Bigyan Neupane, Fangping Yan, Dipesh Rupakheti, Chaman Gul, Wei Zhang, Guangming Wu, Ling Yang, Zhaoqing Wang, and Chaoliu Li
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 683–707, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-683-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-683-2022, 2022
Short summary
Measurement of Light absorbing particles in surface snow of central and western Himalayan glaciers: spatial variability, radiative impacts, and potential source regions
Chaman Gul, Shichang Kang, Siva Praveen Puppala, Xiaokang Wu, Cenlin He, Yangyang Xu, Inka Koch, Sher Muhammad, Rajesh Kumar, and Getachew Dubache
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-935,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-935, 2021
Revised manuscript under review for ACP
Short summary

Related subject area

Discipline: Sea ice | Subject: Arctic (e.g. Greenland)
Kara and Barents sea ice thickness estimation based on CryoSat-2 radar altimeter and Sentinel-1 dual-polarized synthetic aperture radar
Juha Karvonen, Eero Rinne, Heidi Sallila, Petteri Uotila, and Marko Mäkynen
The Cryosphere, 16, 1821–1844, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1821-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1821-2022, 2022
Short summary
Contribution of warm and moist atmospheric flow to a record minimum July sea ice extent of the Arctic in 2020
Yu Liang, Haibo Bi, Haijun Huang, Ruibo Lei, Xi Liang, Bin Cheng, and Yunhe Wang
The Cryosphere, 16, 1107–1123, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1107-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1107-2022, 2022
Short summary
Lasting impact of winds on Arctic sea ice through the ocean's memory
Qiang Wang, Sergey Danilov, Longjiang Mu, Dmitry Sidorenko, and Claudia Wekerle
The Cryosphere, 15, 4703–4725, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4703-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4703-2021, 2021
Short summary
Holocene sea-ice dynamics in Petermann Fjord in relation to ice tongue stability and Nares Strait ice arch formation
Henrieka Detlef, Brendan Reilly, Anne Jennings, Mads Mørk Jensen, Matt O'Regan, Marianne Glasius, Jesper Olsen, Martin Jakobsson, and Christof Pearce
The Cryosphere, 15, 4357–4380, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4357-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4357-2021, 2021
Short summary
Presentation and evaluation of the Arctic sea ice forecasting system neXtSIM-F
Timothy Williams, Anton Korosov, Pierre Rampal, and Einar Ólason
The Cryosphere, 15, 3207–3227, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3207-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3207-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Abe, M., Nozawa, T., Ogura, T., and Takata, K.: Effect of retreating sea ice on Arctic cloud cover in simulated recent global warming, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 14343–14356, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-14343-2016, 2016. 
AMSA: Arctic marine shipping assessment 2009 report, Arctic Council, available at: https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc949512/m2/1/high_res_d/AMSA_2009_Report_2nd_print.pdf (last access: 2 December 2021), 2009. 
Barnhart, K. R., Miller, C. R., Overeem, I., and Kay, J. E.: Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 280–285, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2848, 2015. 
Biskaborn, B. K., Smith, S. L., Noetzli, J., Matthes, H., Vieira, G., and Streletskiy, D. A.: Permafrost is warming at a global scale, Nat. Commun., 10, 1–11, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-08240-4, 2019. 
Box, J. E., Colgan, W. T., Christensen, T. R., Schmidt, N. M., Lund, M., and Parmentier, F.-J. W.: Key indicators of Arctic climate change: 1971–2017, Environ. Res. Lett., 14, 045010, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aafc1b, 2019. 
Download
Short summary
Sea ice is retreating with rapid warming in the Arctic. It will continue and approach the worst predicted pathway released by the IPCC. The irreversible tipping point might show around 2060 when the oldest ice will have completely disappeared. It has a huge impact on human production. Ordinary merchant ships will be able to pass the Northeast Passage and Northwest Passage by the midcentury, and the opening time will advance to the next 10 years for icebreakers with moderate ice strengthening.