Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
Research article
 | 
25 Jan 2022
Research article |  | 25 Jan 2022

Sources of uncertainty in Greenland surface mass balance in the 21st century

Katharina M. Holube, Tobias Zolles, and Andreas Born

Related authors

Equatorial wave circulation associated with subseasonal convective variability over the subtropical western North Pacific in boreal summer
Peishan Chen, Katharina M. Holube, Frank Lunkeit, Nedjeljka Žagar, Yuan-Bing Zhao, and Riyu Lu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2485,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2485, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).
Short summary

Related subject area

Discipline: Ice sheets | Subject: Greenland
Brief communication: Storstrømmen Glacier, northeastern Greenland, primed for end-of-decade surge
Jonas K. Andersen, Rasmus P. Meyer, Flora S. Huiban, Mads L. Dømgaard, Romain Millan, and Anders A. Bjørk
The Cryosphere, 19, 1717–1724, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1717-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1717-2025, 2025
Short summary
Exploring the Greenland Ice Sheet's response to future atmospheric warming-threshold scenarios over 200 years
Alison Delhasse, Christoph Kittel, and Johanna Beckmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-709,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-709, 2025
Short summary
Historically consistent mass loss projections of the Greenland ice sheet
Charlotte Rahlves, Heiko Goelzer, Andreas Born, and Petra M. Langebroek
The Cryosphere, 19, 1205–1220, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1205-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1205-2025, 2025
Short summary
A comparison of supraglacial meltwater features throughout contrasting melt seasons: southwest Greenland
Emily Glen, Amber Leeson, Alison F. Banwell, Jennifer Maddalena, Diarmuid Corr, Olivia Atkins, Brice Noël, and Malcolm McMillan
The Cryosphere, 19, 1047–1066, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1047-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1047-2025, 2025
Short summary
Enhanced MOIDS-derived ice physical properties within CoLM revealing bare ice-snow-albedo feedback over Greenland
Shuyang Guo, Yongjiu Dai, Hua Yuan, and Hongbin Liang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-230,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-230, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Amante, C. and Eakins, B. W.: ETOPO1 1 Arc-Minute Global Relief Model: Procedures, Data Sources and Analysis, NOAA National Geophysical Data Center [data set], https://doi.org/10.7289/V5C8276M, 2009. a, b, c
Aschwanden, A., Fahnestock, M. A., Truffer, M., Brinkerhoff, D. J., Hock, R., Khroulev, C., Mottram, R., and Khan, S. A.: Contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level over the next millennium, Sci. Adv., 5, eeav9396, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav9396, 2019. a
Beyer, R., Krapp, M., and Manica, A.: An empirical evaluation of bias correction methods for palaeoclimate simulations, Clim. Past, 16, 1493–1508, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1493-2020, 2020. a
Born, A., Imhof, M. A., and Stocker, T. F.: An efficient surface energy–mass balance model for snow and ice, The Cryosphere, 13, 1529–1546, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1529-2019, 2019. a, b, c, d, e
Bougamont, M., Bamber, J. L., and Greuell, W.: A surface mass balance model for the Greenland Ice Sheet, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 110, F04018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JF000348, 2005. a, b
Download
Short summary
We simulated the surface mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century by forcing a snow model with the output of many Earth system models and four greenhouse gas emission scenarios. We quantify the contribution to uncertainty in surface mass balance of these two factors and the choice of parameters of the snow model. The results show that the differences between Earth system models are the main source of uncertainty. This effect is localised mostly near the equilibrium line.
Share