The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
Research article
 | 
25 Jan 2022
Research article |  | 25 Jan 2022

Sources of uncertainty in Greenland surface mass balance in the 21st century

Katharina M. Holube, Tobias Zolles, and Andreas Born

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Latest update: 30 Jun 2025
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Short summary
We simulated the surface mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century by forcing a snow model with the output of many Earth system models and four greenhouse gas emission scenarios. We quantify the contribution to uncertainty in surface mass balance of these two factors and the choice of parameters of the snow model. The results show that the differences between Earth system models are the main source of uncertainty. This effect is localised mostly near the equilibrium line.
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