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TC | Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
The Cryosphere, 13, 1125–1146, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1125-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The Cryosphere, 13, 1125–1146, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1125-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 09 Apr 2019

Research article | 09 Apr 2019

Modelling the future evolution of glaciers in the European Alps under the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble

Harry Zekollari et al.

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Adhikari, S., Marshall, S. J., and Huybrechts, P.: On characteristic timescales of glacier AX010 in the Nepalese Himalaya, Bull. Glaciol. Res., 29, 19–29, https://doi.org/10.5331/bgr.29.19, 2011. 
Bamber, J. L., Westaway, R. M., Marzeion, B., and Wouters, B.: The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 063008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac2f0, 2018. 
Berthier, E. and Vincent, C.: Relative contribution of surface mass-balance and ice-flux changes to the accelerated thinning of Mer de Glace, French Alps, over 1979–2008, J. Glaciol., 58, 501–512, https://doi.org/10.3189/2012JoG11J083, 2012. 
Berthier, E., Vincent, C., Magnússon, E., Gunnlaugsson, Á. Þ., Pitte, P., Le Meur, E., Masiokas, M., and Ruiz, L.: Glacier topography and elevation changes derived from Pléiades sub-meter stereo images, The Cryosphere, 8, 2275–2291, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-2275-2014, 2014. 
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Glaciers in the European Alps play an important role in the hydrological cycle, act as a source for hydroelectricity and have a large touristic importance. We model the future evolution of all glaciers in the Alps with a novel model that combines both ice flow and melt processes. We find that under a limited warming scenario about one-third of the present-day ice volume will still be present by the end of the century, while under strong warming more than 90 % of the volume will be lost by 2100.
Glaciers in the European Alps play an important role in the hydrological cycle, act as a source...
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