Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
The Cryosphere, 15, 5705–5715, 2021
The Cryosphere, 15, 5705–5715, 2021
Brief communication
 | Highlight paper
17 Dec 2021
Brief communication  | Highlight paper | 17 Dec 2021

Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level

Andy Aschwanden et al.

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Cited articles

Amaral, T., Bartholomaus, T. C., and Enderlin, E. M.: Evaluation of Iceberg Calving Models Against Observations From Greenland Outlet Glaciers, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 125, 1–29,, 2020. a
Amundson, J. M., Fahnestock, M., Truffer, M., Brown, J., Lüthi, M. P., and Motyka, R. J.: Ice mélange dynamics and implications for terminus stability, Jakobshavn Isbræ, Greenland, J. Geophys. Res., 115, F01005,, 2010. a
Aschwanden, A., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., and Khroulev, C.: Hindcasting to measure ice sheet model sensitivity to initial states, The Cryosphere, 7, 1083–1093,, 2013. a, b, c
Aschwanden, A., Fahnestock, M. A., Truffer, M., Brinkerhoff, D. J., Hock, R., Khroulev, C., Mottram, R., and Khan, S. A.: Contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level over the next millennium, Science Advances, 5, eaav9396,, 2019. a, b, c, d
Aschwanden, A., Brinkerhoff, D. C., Bartholomaus, T. C., and Truffer, M.: Scripts for “Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level”, v0.1, Zenodo [code],, 2021. a
Short summary
Estimating how much ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica will contribute to sea level rise is of critical societal importance. However, our analysis shows that recent efforts are not trustworthy because the models fail at reproducing contemporary ice melt. Here we present a roadmap towards making more credible estimates of ice sheet melt.