Articles | Volume 14, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3235-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3235-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Possible biases in scaling-based estimates of glacier change: a case study in the Himalaya
Argha Banerjee
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
ECS, IISER Pune, Pune 411008, India
Disha Patil
ECS, IISER Pune, Pune 411008, India
Ajinkya Jadhav
ECS, IISER Pune, Pune 411008, India
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Short summary
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A model study of two Himalayan catchments reveals that the summer runoff from the glacierized parts of the catchments responds strongly to temperature forcing and is insensitive to precipitation forcing. The runoff from the non-glacierized parts has the exact opposite behaviour. The interannual variability and decadal changes of runoff under a warming climate is determined by the response of glaciers to temperature forcing and that of off-glacier areas to precipitation perturbations.
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Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-499, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-499, 2021
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
A study of two glacierised Himalayan catchments reveals that the summer runoff from the glacierised parts of the catchments responds strongly to temperature forcing and is stable to precipitation forcing, while that of the non-glacierised parts has an exactly opposite behaviour. The pattern of changes in mean runoff and its variability under a warming climate is determined by the response of glaciers to temperature forcing, and that of off-glacier areas to precipitation perturbations.
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Short summary
Simple models of glacier dynamics based on volume–area scaling underestimate climate sensitivity and response time of glaciers. Consequently, they may predict a faster response and a smaller long-term glacier loss. These biases in scaling models are established theoretically and are analysed in detail by simulating the step response of a set of 703 Himalayan glaciers separately by three different models: a scaling model, a 2-D shallow-ice approximation model, and a linear-response model.
Simple models of glacier dynamics based on volume–area scaling underestimate climate sensitivity...