Articles | Volume 12, issue 10
The Cryosphere, 12, 3187–3213, 2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 3187–3213, 2018

Research article 05 Oct 2018

Research article | 05 Oct 2018

A statistical fracture model for Antarctic ice shelves and glaciers

Veronika Emetc et al.

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A statistical fracture model for Antarctic glaciers
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Cited articles

Albrecht, T. and Levermann, A.: Fracture-induced softening for large-scale ice dynamics, The Cryosphere, 8, 587–605,, 2014. a, b
Åström, J. A., Riikilä, T. I., Tallinen, T., Zwinger, T., Benn, D., Moore, J. C., and Timonen, J.: A particle based simulation model for glacier dynamics, The Cryosphere, 7, 1591–1602,, 2013. a, b
Bassis, J. and Jacobs, S.: Diverse calving patterns linked to glacier geometry, Nat. Geosci., 6, 833–836, 2013. a
Bassis, J. and Walker, C.: Upper and lower limits on the stability of calving glaciers from the yield strength envelope of ice, P. Roy. Soc. A-Math. Phy., 468, 913–931, 2012. a, b
Short summary
The paper includes a model that can be used to predict zones of fracture formation in both floating and grounded ice in Antarctica. We used observations and a statistics-based model to predict fractures in most ice shelves in Antarctica as an alternative to the damage-based approach. We can predict the location of observed fractures with an average success rate of 84% for grounded ice and 61% for floating ice and mean overestimation error of 26% and 20%, respectively.