Articles | Volume 12, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3187-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3187-2018
Research article
 | 
05 Oct 2018
Research article |  | 05 Oct 2018

A statistical fracture model for Antarctic ice shelves and glaciers

Veronika Emetc, Paul Tregoning, Mathieu Morlighem, Chris Borstad, and Malcolm Sambridge

Data sets

Location of surface crevasses in Antarctica V. Emetc https://doi.org/10.15784/601117

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Short summary
The paper includes a model that can be used to predict zones of fracture formation in both floating and grounded ice in Antarctica. We used observations and a statistics-based model to predict fractures in most ice shelves in Antarctica as an alternative to the damage-based approach. We can predict the location of observed fractures with an average success rate of 84% for grounded ice and 61% for floating ice and mean overestimation error of 26% and 20%, respectively.