Articles | Volume 16, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4823-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4823-2022
Research article
 | 
05 Dec 2022
Research article |  | 05 Dec 2022

Simulating the current and future northern limit of permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Jianting Zhao, Lin Zhao, Zhe Sun, Fujun Niu, Guojie Hu, Defu Zou, Guangyue Liu, Erji Du, Chong Wang, Lingxiao Wang, Yongping Qiao, Jianzong Shi, Yuxin Zhang, Junqiang Gao, Yuanwei Wang, Yan Li, Wenjun Yu, Huayun Zhou, Zanpin Xing, Minxuan Xiao, Luhui Yin, and Shengfeng Wang

Related authors

The thermal state of permafrost in under climate change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 1980 to 2022: A case study of the West Kunlun
Jianting Zhao, Lin Zhao, Ze Sun, Guojie Hu, Defu Zou, Minxuan Xiao, Guangyue Liu, Qiangqiang Pang, Erji Du, Zhibin Li, Xiaodong Wu, Yao Xiao, Lingxiao Wang, and Wenxin Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3956,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3956, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Bense, V., Kooi, H., Ferguson, G., and Read, T.: Permafrost degradation as a control on hydrogeological regime shifts in a warming climate, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 117, F030361-18, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JF002143, 2012. 
Buteau, S., Fortier, R., Delisle, G., and Allard, M.: Numerical simulation of the impacts of climate warming on a permafrost mound, Permafrost Periglac., 15, 41–57, https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.474, 2004. 
Cao, Y., Sheng, Y., Wu, J., Li, J., Ning, Z., Hu, X., Feng, Z., and Wang, S.: Influence of upper boundary conditions on simulated ground temperature field in permafrost regions, J. Glaciol. Geocryol., 36, 802–810, 2014 (in Chinese). 
Chang, Y., Lyu, S., Luo, S., Li, Z., Fang, X., Chen, B., Chen, S., Li, R., and Chen, S.: Estimation of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau under current and future climate conditions using the CMIP5 data, Int. J. Climatol., 38, 5659–5676, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5770, 2018. 
Cheng, G.: Influences of local factors on permafrost occurrence and their implications for Qinghai-Xizang Railway design, Sci. China D, 47, 704–709, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02893300, 2004. 
Short summary
Permafrost has been warming and thawing globally; this is especially true in boundary regions. We focus on the changes and variability in permafrost distribution and thermal dynamics in the northern limit of permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) by applying a new permafrost model. Unlike previous papers on this topic, our findings highlight a slow, decaying process in the response of permafrost in the QTP to a warming climate, especially regarding areal extent.
Share