Articles | Volume 16, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4823-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4823-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
05 Dec 2022
Research article |
| 05 Dec 2022
| 05 Dec 2022
Simulating the current and future northern limit of permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
Jianting Zhao
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Lin Zhao
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Zhe Sun
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf, Ministry of Education, Nanning Normal University, Nanning 530001, China
Fujun Niu
State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Guojie Hu
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Guangyue Liu
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Erji Du
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Chong Wang
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Lingxiao Wang
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Yongping Qiao
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Jianzong Shi
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Yuxin Zhang
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Junqiang Gao
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Yuanwei Wang
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Wenjun Yu
School of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Huayun Zhou
College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Zanpin Xing
College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
Cryosphere Research Station on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Minxuan Xiao
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Luhui Yin
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Shengfeng Wang
School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Permafrost thawing caused by the China-Russia Crude oil pipeline based on multi-type data and its impacts on geomorphological reshaping and water erosion K. Gao et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108134
- Impacts of permafrost degradation on streamflow in the northern Himalayas L. Fan et al. 10.1007/s11430-023-1297-4
- A new approach for evaluating regional permafrost changes: A case study in the Hoh Xil on the interior Qinghai‒Tibet Plateau Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.005
- Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century X. Peng et al. 10.1029/2023EF003573
- Numerical simulation for vibration-induced settlement and permanent deformation accumulation in permafrost subgrades of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway C. Tang et al. 10.1016/j.compgeo.2023.106047
- Status and perspectives of the hydrate technology for carbon sequestration in permafrost region: A review W. Song et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115805
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Permafrost thawing caused by the China-Russia Crude oil pipeline based on multi-type data and its impacts on geomorphological reshaping and water erosion K. Gao et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108134
- Impacts of permafrost degradation on streamflow in the northern Himalayas L. Fan et al. 10.1007/s11430-023-1297-4
- A new approach for evaluating regional permafrost changes: A case study in the Hoh Xil on the interior Qinghai‒Tibet Plateau Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.005
- Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century X. Peng et al. 10.1029/2023EF003573
- Numerical simulation for vibration-induced settlement and permanent deformation accumulation in permafrost subgrades of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway C. Tang et al. 10.1016/j.compgeo.2023.106047
- Status and perspectives of the hydrate technology for carbon sequestration in permafrost region: A review W. Song et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115805
Latest update: 04 Jul 2025
Short summary
Permafrost has been warming and thawing globally; this is especially true in boundary regions. We focus on the changes and variability in permafrost distribution and thermal dynamics in the northern limit of permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) by applying a new permafrost model. Unlike previous papers on this topic, our findings highlight a slow, decaying process in the response of permafrost in the QTP to a warming climate, especially regarding areal extent.
Permafrost has been warming and thawing globally; this is especially true in boundary regions....
