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The Cryosphere An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 10, issue 1
The Cryosphere, 10, 341–358, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-341-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
The Cryosphere, 10, 341–358, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-341-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 11 Feb 2016

Research article | 11 Feb 2016

Effect of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections: a calibration-constrained analysis

D. R. Harp et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by D.R. Harp on behalf of the Authors (23 Sep 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (30 Sep 2015) by Julia Boike
AR by D.R. Harp on behalf of the Authors (11 Nov 2015)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (11 Nov 2015) by Julia Boike
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (01 Dec 2015)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (03 Dec 2015) by Julia Boike
AR by D.R. Harp on behalf of the Authors (15 Jan 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (19 Jan 2016) by Julia Boike
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
This paper investigates the uncertainty associated with permafrost thaw projections at an intensively monitored site. Permafrost thaw projections are simulated using a thermal hydrology model forced by a worst-case carbon emission scenario. The uncertainties associated with active layer depth, saturation state, thermal regime, and thaw duration are quantified and compared with the effects of climate model uncertainty on permafrost thaw projections.
This paper investigates the uncertainty associated with permafrost thaw projections at an...
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