Articles | Volume 14, issue 9 
            
                
                    
                    
                        
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
                    © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
                        
                    https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
                    © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
Hélène Seroussi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                            
                                    
                                            Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Sophie Nowicki
                                            NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
                                        
                                    Antony J. Payne
                                            University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
                                        
                                    Heiko Goelzer
                                            Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
                                        
                                    
                                            Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    William H. Lipscomb
                                            Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
                                        
                                    Ayako Abe-Ouchi
                                            University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
                                        
                                    Cécile Agosta
                                            Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement, LSCE-IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ,  Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
                                        
                                    Torsten Albrecht
                                            Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    Xylar Asay-Davis
                                            Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos,,  NM, USA
                                        
                                    Alice Barthel
                                            Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos,,  NM, USA
                                        
                                    Reinhard Calov
                                            Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    Richard Cullather
                                            NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
                                        
                                    Christophe Dumas
                                            Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement, LSCE-IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ,  Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
                                        
                                    Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi
                                            Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, Tasmania, Australia
                                        
                                    Rupert Gladstone
                                            Arctic Centre, University of Lapland, Rovaniemi, Finland
                                        
                                    Nicholas R. Golledge
                                            Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington,  New Zealand
                                        
                                    Jonathan M. Gregory
                                            National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading,  UK
                                        
                                    
                                            Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
                                        
                                    Ralf Greve
                                            Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
                                        
                                    
                                            Arctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
                                        
                                    Tore Hattermann
                                            Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway
                                        
                                    
                                            Energy and Climate Group, Department of Physics and Technology,  The Arctic University – University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway
                                        
                                    Matthew J. Hoffman
                                            Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos,,  NM, USA
                                        
                                    Angelika Humbert
                                            Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Am Handelshafen 12, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
                                        
                                    
                                            Department of Geoscience, University of Bremen, Klagenfurter Straße 2-4, 28334 Bremen, Germany
                                        
                                    Philippe Huybrechts
                                            Earth System Science and Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    Nicolas C. Jourdain
                                            Univ. Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Grenoble, France
                                        
                                    Thomas Kleiner
                                            Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Am Handelshafen 12, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
                                        
                                    Eric Larour
                                            Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Gunter R. Leguy
                                            Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
                                        
                                    Daniel P. Lowry
                                            GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand
                                        
                                    Chistopher M. Little
                                            Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA, USA
                                        
                                    Mathieu Morlighem
                                            Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Frank Pattyn
                                            Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    Tyler Pelle
                                            Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Stephen F. Price
                                            Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos,,  NM, USA
                                        
                                    Aurélien Quiquet
                                            Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement, LSCE-IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ,  Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
                                        
                                    Ronja Reese
                                            Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel
                                            Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Andrew Shepherd
                                            Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
                                        
                                    Erika Simon
                                            NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
                                        
                                    Robin S. Smith
                                            National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading,  UK
                                        
                                    Fiammetta Straneo
                                            Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
                                        
                                    Sainan Sun
                                            Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    Luke D. Trusel
                                            Department of Geography, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA
                                        
                                    Jonas Van Breedam
                                            Earth System Science and Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    Roderik S. W. van de Wal
                                            Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
                                        
                                    
                                            Geosciences, Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
                                        
                                    Ricarda Winkelmann
                                            Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    
                                            University of Potsdam, Institute of Physics and Astronomy, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    Chen Zhao
                                            Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia
                                        
                                    Tong Zhang
                                            Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos,,  NM, USA
                                        
                                    Thomas Zwinger
                                            CSC-IT Center for Science, Espoo, Finland
                                        
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- Final revised paper (published on 17 Sep 2020)
- Preprint (discussion started on 22 Jan 2020)
Interactive discussion
             Status: closed
        
        
             Status: closed
        
    
            AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
        
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             - Supplement
 - Supplement
 
        - 
                RC1:  'Review of the manuscript \lq\lq ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21stcentury \rq\rq\ by H. Seroussi et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Mar 2020
                
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                                AC1:  'Response to reviewers', Helene Seroussi, 17 Apr 2020
                                
                                        
 
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                                AC1:  'Response to reviewers', Helene Seroussi, 17 Apr 2020
                                
                                    
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                RC2:  'Review for ‘ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century’', Anonymous Referee #2, 11 Mar 2020
                
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                                AC1:  'Response to reviewers', Helene Seroussi, 17 Apr 2020
                                
                                        
 
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                                AC1:  'Response to reviewers', Helene Seroussi, 17 Apr 2020
                                
                                    
Peer-review completion
                AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
            
        
                        ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (05 May 2020) by Christina Hulbe
                
                             
                             
                          
                            
                          
                    
                 
                             
                          
                        AR by Helene Seroussi  on behalf of the Authors (16 May 2020)
                             Author's response 
                             Manuscript 
                    
                
                        ED: Publish as is (10 Jun 2020) by Christina Hulbe
                
                    
                
                        AR by Helene Seroussi  on behalf of the Authors (12 Jun 2020)
                             Manuscript 
                    
                Short summary
            The Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass over at least the past 3 decades in response to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. This study presents an ensemble of model simulations of the Antarctic evolution over the  2015–2100 period based on various ice sheet models, climate forcings and emission scenarios. Results suggest that the West Antarctic ice sheet will continue losing a large amount of ice, while the East Antarctic ice sheet could experience increased snow accumulation.
            The Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass over at least the past 3 decades in response to...
            
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