Articles | Volume 14, issue 9
The Cryosphere, 14, 3033–3070, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue: The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6...
The Cryosphere, 14, 3033–3070, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
17 Sep 2020
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 17 Sep 2020
ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
Hélène Seroussi et al.
Viewed
Total article views: 13,612 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 22 Jan 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,817 | 2,707 | 88 | 13,612 | 160 | 124 |
- HTML: 10,817
- PDF: 2,707
- XML: 88
- Total: 13,612
- BibTeX: 160
- EndNote: 124
Total article views: 11,344 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Sep 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9,465 | 1,828 | 51 | 11,344 | 93 | 80 |
- HTML: 9,465
- PDF: 1,828
- XML: 51
- Total: 11,344
- BibTeX: 93
- EndNote: 80
Total article views: 2,268 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 22 Jan 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,352 | 879 | 37 | 2,268 | 67 | 44 |
- HTML: 1,352
- PDF: 879
- XML: 37
- Total: 2,268
- BibTeX: 67
- EndNote: 44
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 13,612 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 12,442 with geography defined
and 1,170 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 11,344 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 10,589 with geography defined
and 755 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 2,268 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,853 with geography defined
and 415 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
61 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century D. Lowry et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00289-2
- Global Drivers on Southern Ocean Ecosystems: Changing Physical Environments and Anthropogenic Pressures in an Earth System S. Morley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.547188
- Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet M. Donat-Magnin et al. 10.5194/tc-15-571-2021
- Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level A. Aschwanden et al. 10.5194/tc-15-5705-2021
- Acceleration of Dynamic Ice Loss in Antarctica From Satellite Gravimetry T. Diener et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.741789
- Marine ice sheet experiments with the Community Ice Sheet Model G. Leguy et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3229-2021
- Using Camshift and Kalman Algorithm to Trajectory Characteristic Matching of Basketball Players S. Liang et al. 10.1155/2021/4728814
- Assimilating near-real-time mass balance stake readings into a model ensemble using a particle filter J. Landmann et al. 10.5194/tc-15-5017-2021
- Unprecedented threats to cities from multi-century sea level rise B. Strauss et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2e6b
- Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration J. Sutter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3839-2021
- Coupling framework (1.0) for the PISM (1.1.4) ice sheet model and the MOM5 (5.1.0) ocean model via the PICO ice shelf cavity model in an Antarctic domain M. Kreuzer et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3697-2021
- Sensitivity of ice loss to uncertainty in flow law parameters in an idealized one-dimensional geometry M. Zeitz et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020
- Drygalski Ice Tongue stability influenced by rift formation and ice morphology C. Indrigo et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.99
- An Assessment of ERA5 Reanalysis for Antarctic Near-Surface Air Temperature J. Zhu et al. 10.3390/atmos12020217
- Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services G. Durand et al. 10.3389/fmars.2021.709595
- Implementation of the RCIP scheme and its performance for 1-D age computations in ice-sheet models F. Saito et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-5875-2020
- The DOE E3SM v1.2 Cryosphere Configuration: Description and Simulated Antarctic Ice‐Shelf Basal Melting D. Comeau et al. 10.1029/2021MS002468
- Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment V. Coulon et al. 10.1029/2020JF006003
- Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record K. Lyu et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01151-1
- Deglacial Ice Sheet Instabilities Induced by Proglacial Lakes A. Quiquet et al. 10.1029/2020GL092141
- Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change E. Lambert et al. 10.1029/2020EF001825
- Relationship Between Weather Regimes and Atmospheric Rivers in East Antarctica B. Pohl et al. 10.1029/2021JD035294
- The Impact of Variable Ocean Temperatures on Totten Glacier Stability and Discharge F. McCormack et al. 10.1029/2020GL091790
- A unified model for transient subglacial water pressure and basal sliding V. Tsai et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.103
- Elastic deformation plays a non-negligible role in Greenland’s outlet glacier flow J. Christmann et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00296-3
- Drivers of Change of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, Between 1995 and 2015 T. Santos et al. 10.1029/2021GL093102
- A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections N. Jourdain et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020
- Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise T. Edwards et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y
- Assessment of numerical schemes for transient, finite-element ice flow models using ISSM v4.18 T. dos Santos et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-2545-2021
- Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change B. Hamlington et al. 10.1029/2020EF001839
- The Paris Climate Agreement and future sea-level rise from Antarctica R. DeConto et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03427-0
- Ocean-induced melt volume directly paces ice loss from Pine Island Glacier I. Joughin et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abi5738
- Nonlinear Interactions and Some Other Aspects of Probabilistic Sea Level Projections M. Hieronymus 10.3390/w12113212
- The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model R. Reese et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
- Quantifying the potential future contribution to global mean sea level from the Filchner–Ronne basin, Antarctica E. Hill et al. 10.5194/tc-15-4675-2021
- An early warning sign of critical transition in the Antarctic ice sheet – a data-driven tool for a spatiotemporal tipping point A. AlMomani & E. Bollt 10.5194/npg-28-153-2021
- Climate and ice sheet evolutions from the last glacial maximum to the pre-industrial period with an ice-sheet–climate coupled model A. Quiquet et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2179-2021
- Layered seawater intrusion and melt under grounded ice A. Robel et al. 10.5194/tc-16-451-2022
- Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets A. Payne et al. 10.1029/2020GL091741
- Derivation of bedrock topography measurement requirements for the reduction of uncertainty in ice-sheet model projections of Thwaites Glacier B. Castleman et al. 10.5194/tc-16-761-2022
- A comparison of the stability and performance of depth-integrated ice-dynamics solvers A. Robinson et al. 10.5194/tc-16-689-2022
- The GRISLI-LSCE contribution to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) – Part 2: Projections of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution by the end of the 21st century A. Quiquet & C. Dumas 10.5194/tc-15-1031-2021
- Statistical emulation of a perturbed basal melt ensemble of an ice sheet model to better quantify Antarctic sea level rise uncertainties M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2683-2021
- Nunataks as barriers to ice flow: implications for palaeo ice sheet reconstructions M. Mas e Braga et al. 10.5194/tc-15-4929-2021
- The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6 H. Goelzer et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020
- Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet C. Kittel et al. 10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021
- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers 10.1017/jog.2022.9
- A Gaussian process emulator for simulating ice sheet–climate interactions on a multi-million-year timescale: CLISEMv1.0 J. Van Breedam et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-6373-2021
- Seasonal Tidewater Glacier Terminus Oscillations Bias Multi‐Decadal Projections of Ice Mass Change D. Felikson et al. 10.1029/2021JF006249
- ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution using the Community Ice Sheet Model W. Lipscomb et al. 10.5194/tc-15-633-2021
- Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise I. Sepúlveda et al. 10.1029/2021EF002007
- A new vertically integrated MOno-Layer Higher-Order (MOLHO) ice flow model T. Dias dos Santos et al. 10.5194/tc-16-179-2022
- Rapid postglacial rebound amplifies global sea level rise following West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse L. Pan et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abf7787
- Calving Multiplier Effect Controlled by Melt Undercut Geometry D. Slater et al. 10.1029/2021JF006191
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Could the Last Interglacial Constrain Projections of Future Antarctic Ice Mass Loss and Sea‐Level Rise? D. Gilford et al. 10.1029/2019JF005418
- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
- Semi-equilibrated global sea-level change projections for the next 10 000 years J. Van Breedam et al. 10.5194/esd-11-953-2020
- Comparative analysis of snowfall accumulation over Antarctica in light of Ice discharge and gravity observations from space A. Behrangi et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9926
- Ice shelf rift propagation: stability, three-dimensional effects, and the role of marginal weakening B. Lipovsky 10.5194/tc-14-1673-2020
- Southern Ocean in-situ temperature trends over 25 years emerge from interannual variability M. Auger et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20781-1
57 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century D. Lowry et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00289-2
- Global Drivers on Southern Ocean Ecosystems: Changing Physical Environments and Anthropogenic Pressures in an Earth System S. Morley et al. 10.3389/fmars.2020.547188
- Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet M. Donat-Magnin et al. 10.5194/tc-15-571-2021
- Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level A. Aschwanden et al. 10.5194/tc-15-5705-2021
- Acceleration of Dynamic Ice Loss in Antarctica From Satellite Gravimetry T. Diener et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.741789
- Marine ice sheet experiments with the Community Ice Sheet Model G. Leguy et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3229-2021
- Using Camshift and Kalman Algorithm to Trajectory Characteristic Matching of Basketball Players S. Liang et al. 10.1155/2021/4728814
- Assimilating near-real-time mass balance stake readings into a model ensemble using a particle filter J. Landmann et al. 10.5194/tc-15-5017-2021
- Unprecedented threats to cities from multi-century sea level rise B. Strauss et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2e6b
- Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration J. Sutter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3839-2021
- Coupling framework (1.0) for the PISM (1.1.4) ice sheet model and the MOM5 (5.1.0) ocean model via the PICO ice shelf cavity model in an Antarctic domain M. Kreuzer et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3697-2021
- Sensitivity of ice loss to uncertainty in flow law parameters in an idealized one-dimensional geometry M. Zeitz et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020
- Drygalski Ice Tongue stability influenced by rift formation and ice morphology C. Indrigo et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.99
- An Assessment of ERA5 Reanalysis for Antarctic Near-Surface Air Temperature J. Zhu et al. 10.3390/atmos12020217
- Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services G. Durand et al. 10.3389/fmars.2021.709595
- Implementation of the RCIP scheme and its performance for 1-D age computations in ice-sheet models F. Saito et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-5875-2020
- The DOE E3SM v1.2 Cryosphere Configuration: Description and Simulated Antarctic Ice‐Shelf Basal Melting D. Comeau et al. 10.1029/2021MS002468
- Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment V. Coulon et al. 10.1029/2020JF006003
- Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record K. Lyu et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01151-1
- Deglacial Ice Sheet Instabilities Induced by Proglacial Lakes A. Quiquet et al. 10.1029/2020GL092141
- Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change E. Lambert et al. 10.1029/2020EF001825
- Relationship Between Weather Regimes and Atmospheric Rivers in East Antarctica B. Pohl et al. 10.1029/2021JD035294
- The Impact of Variable Ocean Temperatures on Totten Glacier Stability and Discharge F. McCormack et al. 10.1029/2020GL091790
- A unified model for transient subglacial water pressure and basal sliding V. Tsai et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.103
- Elastic deformation plays a non-negligible role in Greenland’s outlet glacier flow J. Christmann et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00296-3
- Drivers of Change of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, Between 1995 and 2015 T. Santos et al. 10.1029/2021GL093102
- A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections N. Jourdain et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020
- Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise T. Edwards et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y
- Assessment of numerical schemes for transient, finite-element ice flow models using ISSM v4.18 T. dos Santos et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-2545-2021
- Past, Present, and Future Pacific Sea‐Level Change B. Hamlington et al. 10.1029/2020EF001839
- The Paris Climate Agreement and future sea-level rise from Antarctica R. DeConto et al. 10.1038/s41586-021-03427-0
- Ocean-induced melt volume directly paces ice loss from Pine Island Glacier I. Joughin et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abi5738
- Nonlinear Interactions and Some Other Aspects of Probabilistic Sea Level Projections M. Hieronymus 10.3390/w12113212
- The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model R. Reese et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
- Quantifying the potential future contribution to global mean sea level from the Filchner–Ronne basin, Antarctica E. Hill et al. 10.5194/tc-15-4675-2021
- An early warning sign of critical transition in the Antarctic ice sheet – a data-driven tool for a spatiotemporal tipping point A. AlMomani & E. Bollt 10.5194/npg-28-153-2021
- Climate and ice sheet evolutions from the last glacial maximum to the pre-industrial period with an ice-sheet–climate coupled model A. Quiquet et al. 10.5194/cp-17-2179-2021
- Layered seawater intrusion and melt under grounded ice A. Robel et al. 10.5194/tc-16-451-2022
- Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets A. Payne et al. 10.1029/2020GL091741
- Derivation of bedrock topography measurement requirements for the reduction of uncertainty in ice-sheet model projections of Thwaites Glacier B. Castleman et al. 10.5194/tc-16-761-2022
- A comparison of the stability and performance of depth-integrated ice-dynamics solvers A. Robinson et al. 10.5194/tc-16-689-2022
- The GRISLI-LSCE contribution to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) – Part 2: Projections of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution by the end of the 21st century A. Quiquet & C. Dumas 10.5194/tc-15-1031-2021
- Statistical emulation of a perturbed basal melt ensemble of an ice sheet model to better quantify Antarctic sea level rise uncertainties M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2683-2021
- Nunataks as barriers to ice flow: implications for palaeo ice sheet reconstructions M. Mas e Braga et al. 10.5194/tc-15-4929-2021
- The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6 H. Goelzer et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020
- Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet C. Kittel et al. 10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021
- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers 10.1017/jog.2022.9
- A Gaussian process emulator for simulating ice sheet–climate interactions on a multi-million-year timescale: CLISEMv1.0 J. Van Breedam et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-6373-2021
- Seasonal Tidewater Glacier Terminus Oscillations Bias Multi‐Decadal Projections of Ice Mass Change D. Felikson et al. 10.1029/2021JF006249
- ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution using the Community Ice Sheet Model W. Lipscomb et al. 10.5194/tc-15-633-2021
- Non‐Stationary Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments Incorporating Climate‐Change‐Driven Sea Level Rise I. Sepúlveda et al. 10.1029/2021EF002007
- A new vertically integrated MOno-Layer Higher-Order (MOLHO) ice flow model T. Dias dos Santos et al. 10.5194/tc-16-179-2022
- Rapid postglacial rebound amplifies global sea level rise following West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse L. Pan et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abf7787
- Calving Multiplier Effect Controlled by Melt Undercut Geometry D. Slater et al. 10.1029/2021JF006191
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Could the Last Interglacial Constrain Projections of Future Antarctic Ice Mass Loss and Sea‐Level Rise? D. Gilford et al. 10.1029/2019JF005418
- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Semi-equilibrated global sea-level change projections for the next 10 000 years J. Van Breedam et al. 10.5194/esd-11-953-2020
- Comparative analysis of snowfall accumulation over Antarctica in light of Ice discharge and gravity observations from space A. Behrangi et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9926
- Ice shelf rift propagation: stability, three-dimensional effects, and the role of marginal weakening B. Lipovsky 10.5194/tc-14-1673-2020
- Southern Ocean in-situ temperature trends over 25 years emerge from interannual variability M. Auger et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20781-1
Latest update: 02 Feb 2023
Short summary
The Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass over at least the past 3 decades in response to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. This study presents an ensemble of model simulations of the Antarctic evolution over the 2015–2100 period based on various ice sheet models, climate forcings and emission scenarios. Results suggest that the West Antarctic ice sheet will continue losing a large amount of ice, while the East Antarctic ice sheet could experience increased snow accumulation.
The Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass over at least the past 3 decades in response to...
Special issue