ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century

Seroussi, Hélène; Nowicki, Sophie; Payne, Antony J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar; Barthel, Alice; Calov, Reinhard; Cullather, Richard; Dumas, Christophe; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Larour, Eric; Leguy, Gunter R.; Lowry, Daniel P.; Little, Chistopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; van de Wal, Roderik S. W.; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

Articles | Volume 14, issue 9

The Cryosphere, 14, 3033–3070, 2020

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6...

The Cryosphere, 14, 3033–3070, 2020

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 14, issue 9

Research article 17 Sep 2020

Research article | 17 Sep 2020

ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century

Hélène Seroussi et al.

Data sets

CMIP6 ESFG https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/

Results of ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century Helene Seroussi, Sophie Nowicki, Anthony P. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William L. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe Ouchi, … and Thomas Zwinger https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3940766

Scripts for "ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century" Helene Seroussi, Sophie Nowicki, Anthony P. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William L. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe Ouchi, … and Thomas Zwinger https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3940768

Short summary

The Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass over at least the past 3 decades in response to changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions. This study presents an ensemble of model simulations of the Antarctic evolution over the 2015–2100 period based on various ice sheet models, climate forcings and emission scenarios. Results suggest that the West Antarctic ice sheet will continue losing a large amount of ice, while the East Antarctic ice sheet could experience increased snow accumulation.