Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5225-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5225-2026
Research article
 | 
18 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 18 Sep 2026

Modelling climate-induced instability of ice-rich permafrost slopes

Juditha Aga, Antoni G. Lewkowicz, and Sebastian Westermann

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-916', Ian Shirley, 23 May 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Juditha Aga, 17 Jun 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-916', Sebastian Uhlemann, 29 May 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Juditha Aga, 17 Jun 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (23 Jun 2026) by Guillaume Chambon
AR by Juditha Aga on behalf of the Authors (23 Jun 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (08 Jul 2026) by Guillaume Chambon
RR by Sebastian Uhlemann (20 Jul 2026)
ED: Publish as is (27 Aug 2026) by Guillaume Chambon
AR by Juditha Aga on behalf of the Authors (06 Sep 2026)
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Short summary
In this study, we explore the influence of a warming climate on landslides in ice-rich permafrost slopes. Using climate, terrain and soil data, we built a model that simulates permafrost thaw and its impact on slope stability over time. We tested the model on Banks Island, Canada, and it reproduced years with many new landslide observations and identified the most susceptible slopes. The model can also be applied to other permafrost regions, and to both past and future climate conditions.
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