The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3749-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
Research article
 | 
12 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 12 Sep 2025

The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability

Vincent Verjans, Alexander A. Robel, Lizz Ultee, Helene Seroussi, Andrew F. Thompson, Lars Ackermann, Youngmin Choi, and Uta Krebs-Kanzow

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Short summary
This study examines how random variations in climate may influence future ice loss from the Greenland ice sheet. We find that random climate variations are important for predicting future ice loss from the entire Greenland ice sheet over the next 20–30 years but relatively unimportant after that period. Thus, uncertainty in sea level projections from the effect of climate variability on Greenland may play a role in coastal decision-making about sea level rise over the next few decades.
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