Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023
Research article
 | 
14 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 14 Apr 2023

Uncertainty analysis of single- and multiple-size-class frazil ice models

Fabien Souillé, Cédric Goeury, and Rem-Sophia Mouradi

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Revised manuscript under review for WES
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Cited articles

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Ashton, G.: Frazil ice, in: Theory of dispersed multiphase flow, Elsevier, 271–289, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-493120-6.50017-9, 1983. a
Barrette, P. D.: A tabulated review of 83 laboratory studies on frazil ice, in: IAHR International Symposium on Ice, 14–18 June 2020, Trondheim, Norway, https://www.iahr.org/library/infor?pid=8546 (last access: 11 April 2023), 2020. a
Barrette, P. D.: Understanding frazil ice: The contribution of laboratory studies, Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 189, 103334, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2021.103334, 2021. a
Baudin, M., Boumhaout, K., Delage, T., Iooss, B., and Martinez, J.-M.: Numerical stability of Sobol' indices estimation formula, in: Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output (SAMO 2016), 30 November–3 December 2016, Le Tampon, Réunion Island, France, https://www.gdr-mascotnum.fr/media/samo2016-sobol_vf.pdf (last access: 11 April 2023), 2016a. a
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Short summary
Models that can predict temperature and ice crystal formation (frazil) in water are important for river and coastal engineering. Indeed, frazil has direct impact on submerged structures and often precedes the formation of ice cover. In this paper, an uncertainty analysis of two mathematical models that simulate supercooling and frazil is carried out within a probabilistic framework. The presented methodology offers new insight into the models and their parameterization.
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