The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
TC
Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 17, issue 4
Research article
 | 
14 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 14 Apr 2023

Uncertainty analysis of single- and multiple-size-class frazil ice models

Fabien Souillé, Cédric Goeury, and Rem-Sophia Mouradi

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Latest update: 31 Oct 2025
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Short summary
Models that can predict temperature and ice crystal formation (frazil) in water are important for river and coastal engineering. Indeed, frazil has direct impact on submerged structures and often precedes the formation of ice cover. In this paper, an uncertainty analysis of two mathematical models that simulate supercooling and frazil is carried out within a probabilistic framework. The presented methodology offers new insight into the models and their parameterization.
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