Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
Research article
10 Dec 2021
Research article |  | 10 Dec 2021

A probabilistic model for fracture events of Petermann ice islands under the influence of atmospheric and oceanic conditions

Reza Zeinali-Torbati, Ian D. Turnbull, Rocky S. Taylor, and Derek Mueller


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on tc-2021-83', Thomas Rackow, 05 Jul 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Reza Zeinali Torbati, 11 Aug 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on tc-2021-83', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Jul 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Reza Zeinali Torbati, 11 Aug 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (16 Aug 2021) by Stef Lhermitte
AR by Reza Zeinali Torbati on behalf of the Authors (28 Sep 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Sep 2021) by Stef Lhermitte
RR by Thomas Rackow (24 Oct 2021)
ED: Publish as is (26 Oct 2021) by Stef Lhermitte
Short summary
Using the reanalysis datasets and the Canadian Ice Island Drift, Deterioration and Detection database, a probabilistic model was developed to quantify ice island fracture probability under various atmospheric and oceanic conditions. The model identified water temperature as the most dominant variable behind ice island fracture events, while ocean currents played a minor role. The developed model offers a predictive capability and could be of particular interest to offshore and marine activities.