Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5895-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5895-2026
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
15 Oct 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 15 Oct 2026

Propagating meteorological uncertainty in physically based mountain snow modeling

David R. Casson, Guoqiang Tang, Nicolás Vásquez, Andrew W. Wood, and Martyn P. Clark

Viewed

Total article views: 2,409 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
1,604 657 148 2,409 240 123 127
  • HTML: 1,604
  • PDF: 657
  • XML: 148
  • Total: 2,409
  • Supplement: 240
  • BibTeX: 123
  • EndNote: 127
Views and downloads (calculated since 07 Jan 2026)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 07 Jan 2026)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,409 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,388 with geography defined and 21 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 15 Oct 2026
Download
Editorial statement
Quantifying the distribution of mountain snow is critical issue to ensure effective water resource management, skillful hydrological prediction, and hazard mitigation. This manuscript presents a highly impactful framework for quantifying meteorological forcing uncertainty in model simulations of mountain snow using novel machine learning applications and large sample emulators. By strictly adhering to FAIR data principles and utilizing open-source, automated workflows, the study provides a compelling demonstration of best practices in hydrological modeling. This paper will serve as an invaluable guide for early-career hydrologists seeking practical examples of rigorous code development and modeling workflows.
Short summary

Improving mountain snow prediction requires better representation of meteorological uncertainty. This study generates meteorological ensembles accounting for topography, gauge undercatch, and large-scale atmospheric patterns. Driving a physics-based snow model calibrated using a Large Sample Emulator with these ensembles propagates forcing uncertainty into snow accumulation and melt, producing probablistic estimates for data assimilation and hydrological forecasting.

Share