Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2321-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2321-2025
Research article
 | 
01 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 01 Jul 2025

The demise of the world's largest piedmont glacier: a probabilistic forecast

Douglas J. Brinkerhoff, Brandon S. Tober, Michael Daniel, Victor Devaux-Chupin, Michael S. Christoffersen, John W. Holt, Christopher F. Larsen, Mark Fahnestock, Michael G. Loso, Kristin M. F. Timm, Russell C. Mitchell, and Martin Truffer

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Short summary
Sít' Tlein is one of the largest glaciers in the world outside of the polar regions, and we know that it has been rapidly thinning. To forecast how this glacier will change in the future, we combine a computer model of ice flow with measurements from many different sources. Our model tells us that with high probability, Sít' Tlein's lower reaches are going to disappear in the next century and a half, creating a new bay or lake along Alaska's coastline.
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