Articles | Volume 15, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3135-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3135-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Jul 2021
Research article |
| 08 Jul 2021
| 08 Jul 2021
Twentieth century global glacier mass change: an ensemble-based model reconstruction
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Ben Marzeion
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Increased mass loss of glaciers in Volcán Domuyo (Argentinian Andes) between 1962 and 2020, revealed by aerial photos and satellite stereo imagery D. Falaschi et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.43
- Decadal re-forecasts of glacier climatic mass balance L. van der Laan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3879-2025
- Drivers of 20th century sea‐level change in southern New Zealand determined from proxy and instrumental records E. Garrett et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3418
- Global and regional ocean mass budget closure since 2003 C. Ludwigsen et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45726-w
- Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites M. Perrette & M. Mengel https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.ado4506
- An efficient approach for detecting anomalous events in real‐time weather datasets S. Arora et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpe.6707
- Probabilistic reconstruction of sea-level changes and their causes since 1900 S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3471-2024
- Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the holocene R. Creel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54535-0
- Variable contributions of vertical land motion to sea-level change inferred at tide gauges S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02005-1
- Reconstructing GRACE-like time series of high mountain glacier mass anomalies B. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2022.113177
- Inverting sea surface height data yields Greenland ice mass changes (1993–2019): a proof of concept S. Coulson et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggag187
- A detection of the sea level fingerprint of Greenland Ice Sheet melt S. Coulson et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abo0926
- Modeling Sea Level Rise Over 1993–2022: Implications for Understanding Coastal Observations D. Mu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117434
- Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era N. Gangadharan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022
- Improved closure of the global mean sea level budget from observational advances since 1960 H. Zheng et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea0652
- How can geomorphology facilitate a better understanding of glacier and ice sheet behaviour? R. Jones et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5932
- Relative sea‐level changes in southeastern Australia during the 19th and 20th centuries S. Williams et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3528
- Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023 M. Zemp et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Increased mass loss of glaciers in Volcán Domuyo (Argentinian Andes) between 1962 and 2020, revealed by aerial photos and satellite stereo imagery D. Falaschi et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.43
- Decadal re-forecasts of glacier climatic mass balance L. van der Laan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3879-2025
- Drivers of 20th century sea‐level change in southern New Zealand determined from proxy and instrumental records E. Garrett et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3418
- Global and regional ocean mass budget closure since 2003 C. Ludwigsen et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45726-w
- Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites M. Perrette & M. Mengel https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.ado4506
- An efficient approach for detecting anomalous events in real‐time weather datasets S. Arora et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpe.6707
- Probabilistic reconstruction of sea-level changes and their causes since 1900 S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3471-2024
- Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the holocene R. Creel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54535-0
- Variable contributions of vertical land motion to sea-level change inferred at tide gauges S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02005-1
- Reconstructing GRACE-like time series of high mountain glacier mass anomalies B. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2022.113177
- Inverting sea surface height data yields Greenland ice mass changes (1993–2019): a proof of concept S. Coulson et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggag187
- A detection of the sea level fingerprint of Greenland Ice Sheet melt S. Coulson et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abo0926
- Modeling Sea Level Rise Over 1993–2022: Implications for Understanding Coastal Observations D. Mu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117434
- Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era N. Gangadharan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022
- Improved closure of the global mean sea level budget from observational advances since 1960 H. Zheng et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea0652
- How can geomorphology facilitate a better understanding of glacier and ice sheet behaviour? R. Jones et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5932
- Relative sea‐level changes in southeastern Australia during the 19th and 20th centuries S. Williams et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3528
- Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023 M. Zemp et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 28 Oct 2026
Short summary
To better estimate the uncertainty in glacier mass change modeling during the 20th century we ran an established model with an ensemble of meteorological data sets. We find that the total ensemble uncertainty, especially in the early 20th century, when glaciological and meteorological observations at glacier locations were sparse, increases considerably compared to individual ensemble runs. This stems from regions with a lot of ice mass but few observations (e.g., Greenland periphery).
To better estimate the uncertainty in glacier mass change modeling during the 20th century we...
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