Articles | Volume 14, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020
Research article
 | 
27 Oct 2020
Research article |  | 27 Oct 2020

Sensitivity of ice loss to uncertainty in flow law parameters in an idealized one-dimensional geometry

Maria Zeitz, Anders Levermann, and Ricarda Winkelmann

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (28 Jul 2020) by Alexander Robinson
AR by Maria Zeitz on behalf of the Authors (28 Jul 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (16 Aug 2020) by Alexander Robinson
AR by Maria Zeitz on behalf of the Authors (26 Aug 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (09 Sep 2020) by Alexander Robinson
AR by Maria Zeitz on behalf of the Authors (10 Sep 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
The flow of ice drives mass losses in the large ice sheets. Sea-level rise projections rely on ice-sheet models, solving the physics of ice flow and melt. Unfortunately the parameters in the physics of flow are uncertain. Here we show, in an idealized setup, that these uncertainties can double flow-driven mass losses within the possible range of parameters. It is possible that this uncertainty carries over to realistic sea-level rise projections.