Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 12, 675–683, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-675-2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 675–683, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-675-2018

Research article 26 Feb 2018

Research article | 26 Feb 2018

Mechanisms influencing seasonal to inter-annual prediction skill of sea ice extent in the Arctic Ocean in MIROC

Jun Ono et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Jun Ono on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (12 Oct 2017) by Dirk Notz
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (26 Oct 2017)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (08 Nov 2017)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Nov 2017) by Dirk Notz
AR by Jun Ono on behalf of the Authors (22 Dec 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (08 Jan 2018) by Dirk Notz
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (12 Jan 2018)
ED: Publish as is (15 Jan 2018) by Dirk Notz
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Short summary
Sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has experienced rapid decline since the beginning of satellite observations. To assess the predictability of sea ice extent (SIE) in the Arctic Ocean and to clarify the underlying physical processes, we conducted prediction experiments using an initialized climate model (MIROC5). The present study suggests that subsurface ocean heat content originating from the North Atlantic contributes to the skillful prediction of winter SIE at lead times up to 11 months.