Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 12, 675–683, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-675-2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 675–683, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-675-2018
Research article
26 Feb 2018
Research article | 26 Feb 2018

Mechanisms influencing seasonal to inter-annual prediction skill of sea ice extent in the Arctic Ocean in MIROC

Jun Ono et al.

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Short summary
Sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has experienced rapid decline since the beginning of satellite observations. To assess the predictability of sea ice extent (SIE) in the Arctic Ocean and to clarify the underlying physical processes, we conducted prediction experiments using an initialized climate model (MIROC5). The present study suggests that subsurface ocean heat content originating from the North Atlantic contributes to the skillful prediction of winter SIE at lead times up to 11 months.