Articles | Volume 12, issue 11
The Cryosphere, 12, 3565–3575, 2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 3565–3575, 2018

Research article 19 Nov 2018

Research article | 19 Nov 2018

Modelling the fate of surface melt on the Larsen C Ice Shelf

Sammie Buzzard et al.

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Cited articles

Banwell, A., MacAyeal, D., and Sergienko, O.: Breakup of the Larsen B Ice Shelf triggered by chain reaction drainage of supraglacial lakes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 5872–5876,, 2013. a
Bevan, S. L., Luckman, A., Hubbard, B., Kulessa, B., Ashmore, D., Kuipers Munneke, P., O'Leary, M., Booth, A., Sevestre, H., and McGrath, D.: Centuries of intense surface melt on Larsen C Ice Shelf, The Cryosphere, 11, 2743–2753,, 2017. a
Bracegirdle, T., Connolley, W., and Turner, J.: Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D03103,, 2008. a
Bracegirdle, T., Barrand, N., Kusahara, K., and Wainer, I.: Predicting Antarctic climate using climate models, Antarctic Environments Portal,, 2016. a
Buzzard, S.: A Mathematical Model of Melt Lake Formation on an Ice Shelf, University of Reading, Software,, 2017. a
Short summary
Surface lakes on ice shelves can not only change the amount of solar energy the ice shelf receives, but may also play a pivotal role in sudden ice shelf collapse such as that of the Larsen B Ice Shelf in 2002. Here we simulate current and future melting on Larsen C, Antarctica’s most northern ice shelf and one on which lakes have been observed. We find that should future lakes occur closer to the ice shelf front, they may contain sufficient meltwater to contribute to ice shelf instability.