Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
The Cryosphere, 10, 1631–1645, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016
The Cryosphere, 10, 1631–1645, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016

Research article 28 Jul 2016

Research article | 28 Jul 2016

Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability – prospects and limitations

Sebastian Bathiany et al.

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Status: closed
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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Sebastian Bathiany on behalf of the Authors (04 Apr 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (07 Apr 2016) by Christian Haas
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (25 Apr 2016)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (06 May 2016)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (17 May 2016) by Christian Haas
AR by Anna Wenzel on behalf of the Authors (10 Jun 2016)  Author's response
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Jun 2016) by Christian Haas
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (27 Jun 2016)
ED: Publish as is (08 Jul 2016) by Christian Haas
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Short summary
We examine if a potential "tipping point" in Arctic sea ice, causing abrupt and irreversible sea-ice loss, could be foreseen with statistical early warning signals. We assess this idea by using several models of different complexity. We find robust and consistent trends in variability that are not specific to the existence of a tipping point. While this makes an early warning impossible, it allows to estimate sea-ice variability from only short observational records or reconstructions.