The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
TC
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
Research article
 | 
28 Jul 2016
Research article |  | 28 Jul 2016

Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability – prospects and limitations

Sebastian Bathiany, Bregje van der Bolt, Mark S. Williamson, Timothy M. Lenton, Marten Scheffer, Egbert H. van Nes, and Dirk Notz

Viewed

Total article views: 4,461 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
2,697 1,575 189 4,461 212 250
  • HTML: 2,697
  • PDF: 1,575
  • XML: 189
  • Total: 4,461
  • BibTeX: 212
  • EndNote: 250
Views and downloads (calculated since 18 Jan 2016)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 18 Jan 2016)
Latest update: 25 Nov 2025
Download
Short summary
We examine if a potential "tipping point" in Arctic sea ice, causing abrupt and irreversible sea-ice loss, could be foreseen with statistical early warning signals. We assess this idea by using several models of different complexity. We find robust and consistent trends in variability that are not specific to the existence of a tipping point. While this makes an early warning impossible, it allows to estimate sea-ice variability from only short observational records or reconstructions.
Read more
Share