Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-875-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-875-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Feb 2026
Research article |
| 03 Feb 2026
| 03 Feb 2026
Projecting the response of Greenland's peripheral glaciers to future climate change: glacier losses, sea level impact, freshwater contributions, and peak water timing
Muhammad Shafeeque
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
Jan-Hendrik Malles
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Anouk Vlug
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, University of Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria
Marco Möller
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
Geodesy and Glaciology, Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities, 80539 Munich, Germany
Climate Lab, Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, 28359 Bremen, Germany
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Short summary
This study projects Greenland's peripheral glaciers' response to climate change using the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM). They may lose up to 52 % of ice mass by 2100. We predict changes in ice discharge versus melting, affecting fjords, sea levels, and ocean currents. Freshwater runoff composition and peak water timing vary by region and scenario. Our findings highlight the importance of reducing emissions to minimize impacts on these glaciers and their influence on ecosystems.
This study projects Greenland's peripheral glaciers' response to climate change using the Open...
