Projecting the response of Greenland's peripheral glaciers to future climate change: glacier losses, sea level impact, freshwater contributions, and peak water timing

Shafeeque, Muhammad; Malles, Jan-Hendrik; Vlug, Anouk; Möller, Marco; Marzeion, Ben

doi:10.5194/tc-20-875-2026

Articles | Volume 20, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-875-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-875-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 2

Research article

|

03 Feb 2026

Research article |

| 03 Feb 2026

Projecting the response of Greenland's peripheral glaciers to future climate change: glacier losses, sea level impact, freshwater contributions, and peak water timing

Muhammad Shafeeque, Jan-Hendrik Malles, Anouk Vlug, Marco Möller, and Ben Marzeion

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-875-2026-supplement

Data sets

Data: Projecting the Response of Greenland's Peripheral Glaciers to Future Climate Change: Glacier Losses, Sea Level Impact, Freshwater Contributions, and Peak Water Timing Muhammad Shafeeque and Ben Marzeion https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12737991

Model code and software

OGGM/oggm: v1.5.3 F. Maussion et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6408559

Short summary

This study projects Greenland's peripheral glaciers' response to climate change using the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM). They may lose up to 52 % of ice mass by 2100. We predict changes in ice discharge versus melting, affecting fjords, sea levels, and ocean currents. Freshwater runoff composition and peak water timing vary by region and scenario. Our findings highlight the importance of reducing emissions to minimize impacts on these glaciers and their influence on ecosystems.