The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5761-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-5761-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
Research article
 | 
09 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 09 Oct 2026

Antarctic sea ice response to meltwater due to Antarctic ice sheet mass loss in a multi-model ensemble

Andrew G. Pauling, Inga J. Smith, Torge Martin, Jeff K. Ridley, David P. Stevens, Max Thomas, Rebecca L. Beadling, Christopher Danek, Tore Hattermann, Qian Li, John Marshall, Morven Muilwijk, Ariaan Purich, and Neil C. Swart

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Latest update: 09 Oct 2026
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Short summary
Climate models typically do not include meltwater entering the Southern Ocean due to Antarctic ice sheet mass loss. Previous work shows this meltwater drives sea ice growth, but the varying responses have been difficult to compare across models. We ran 11 climate models using the same meltwater input and found a wide range of sea ice responses depending on the background state in each model. Understanding this uncertainty in response is important for future projections of Antarctic sea ice.
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