The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
TC
Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2317-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2317-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
Research article
 | 
23 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 23 Apr 2026

Changes in 1958–2019 Greenland surface mass balance are attributable to both greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols

Yan-Ning Kuo, Riley Culberg, and Flavio Lehner

Related authors

The updated Multi-Model Large Ensemble Archive and the Climate Variability Diagnostics Package: new tools for the study of climate variability and change
Nicola Maher, Adam S. Phillips, Clara Deser, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Flavio Lehner, John Fasullo, Julie M. Caron, Lukas Brunner, Urs Beyerle, and Jemma Jeffree
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 6341–6365, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6341-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6341-2025, 2025
Short summary
Evaluating an Earth system model from a water manager perspective
Mari R. Tye, Ming Ge, Jadwiga H. Richter, Ethan D. Gutmann, Allyson Rugg, Cindy L. Bruyère, Sue Ellen Haupt, Flavio Lehner, Rachel McCrary, Andrew J. Newman, and Andy Wood
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 1117–1133, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1117-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1117-2025, 2025
Short summary
Sentinel-1 detection of ice slabs on the Greenland Ice Sheet
Riley Culberg, Roger J. Michaelides, and Julie Z. Miller
The Cryosphere, 18, 2531–2555, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2531-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2531-2024, 2024
Short summary
Optimizing WRF-Hydro Calibration in the Himalayan Basin: Precipitation Influence and Parameter Sensitivity Analysis
Ankur Dixit, Sandeep Sahany, Flavio Lehner, and Saroj Kanta Mishra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-587,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-587, 2024
Preprint archived
Short summary
Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Verena Bessenbacher, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington, Flavio Lehner, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 131–154, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-131-2024, 2024
Short summary
More articles (5)

Cited articles

Allen, M. R. and Stott, P. A.: Estimating signal amplitudes in optimal fingerprinting, part I: Theory, Clim. Dynam., 21, 477–491, 2003. a, b, c, d
Bamber, J. L., Westaway, R. M., Marzeion, B., and Wouters, B.: The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 063008, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac2f0, 2018. a
Brils, M., Kuipers Munneke, P., and van den Broeke, M. R.: Spatial response of Greenland's firn layer to NAO variability, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 128, e2023JF007082, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007082, 2023. a, b
Chen, X., Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Watson, C. S., King, M. A., Monselesan, D., Legresy, B., and Harig, C.: The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993–2014, Nat. Clim. Change, 7, 492–495, 2017. a
Church, J. A., White, N. J., Konikow, L. F., Domingues, C. M., Cogley, J. G., Rignot, E., Gregory, J. M., van den Broeke, M. R., Monaghan, A. J., and Velicogna, I.: Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048794 2011. a, b
More articles (59)
Download
Short summary
We attribute historical Greenland surface mass balance changes to greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols through their impacts on runoff changes. Greenhouse gases induce runoff increase by long-term warming, and anthropogenic aerosols induce runoff by a decadal phase change in circulation pattern of Greenland blocking. We also highlight runoff responses in a climate model are state dependent, potentially contributing to the lower signal-to-noise ratio attributing to anthropogenic aerosols.
Read more
Share
Special issue
Improving the contribution of the land cryosphere to sea level...