Articles | Volume 19, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6507-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6507-2025
Research article
 | 
04 Dec 2025
Research article |  | 04 Dec 2025

Multi-model estimate of Antarctic ice-shelf basal mass budget and ocean drivers

Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Richard Porter-Smith, Sue Cook, Eva Cougnon, David E. Gwyther, Wilma G. C. Huneke, Madelaine G. Rosevear, Xylar Asay-Davis, Fabio Boeira Dias, Michael S. Dinniman, David Holland, Kazuya Kusahara, Kaitlin A. Naughten, Keith W. Nicholls, Charles Pelletier, Ole Richter, Hélène Seroussi, and Ralph Timmermann

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Latest update: 12 Mar 2026
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Short summary

Quantifying melt and freeze beneath Antarctica’s floating ice shelves is vital to understanding present-day ice-sheet behavior and its potential to contribute to future sea-level rise. We compare 10 ice-shelf/ocean computer simulations with satellite data, providing the first multi-model estimate of melting and refreezing driven by the ocean. This new estimate offers a valuable tool for assessing ice-shelf roles in current and future ice-sheet changes, informing coastal adaptation strategies.

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