Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-5959-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-5959-2025
Research article
 | 
20 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 20 Nov 2025

Permafrost sensitivity to soil hydro-thermodynamics in historical and scenario simulations with the MPI-ESM

Félix García-Pereira, Jesús Fidel González-Rouco, Nagore Meabe-Yanguas, Philipp de Vrese, Norman Julius Steinert, Johann Jungclaus, and Stephan Lorenz

Download

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2126', Stefan Hagemann, 28 Jul 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Félix García-Pereira, 03 Oct 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2126', Anonymous Referee #2, 01 Aug 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Félix García-Pereira, 03 Oct 2025
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2126', Anonymous Referee #3, 12 Aug 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Félix García-Pereira, 03 Oct 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (06 Oct 2025) by Christian Hauck
AR by Félix García-Pereira on behalf of the Authors (06 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (07 Oct 2025) by Christian Hauck
RR by Stefan Hagemann (07 Oct 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (22 Oct 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (22 Oct 2025) by Christian Hauck
AR by Félix García-Pereira on behalf of the Authors (27 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (27 Oct 2025) by Christian Hauck
AR by Félix García-Pereira on behalf of the Authors (27 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 
Download
Short summary
This work shows that changing the hydrological state of permafrost produces differences of up to 3 °C in the annual ground temperature, 1–2 m in the active layer thickness, and 5 million km2 in the permafrost extent. Including a deeper vertical thermal scheme reduces the extent decline by more than 2 million km2 in the highest radiative emission scenario. This is shown for the first time in fully-coupled experiments with an Earth System Model.
Share