Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-541-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-541-2025
Research article
 | 
04 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 04 Feb 2025

ISMIP6-based Antarctic projections to 2100: simulations with the BISICLES ice sheet model

James F. O'Neill, Tamsin L. Edwards, Daniel F. Martin, Courtney Shafer, Stephen L. Cornford, Hélène L. Seroussi, Sophie Nowicki, Mira Adhikari, and Lauren J. Gregoire

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-441', Tong Zhang, 04 May 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', James ONeill, 29 Jul 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC1', James ONeill, 29 Jul 2024
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC1', James ONeill, 29 Jul 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-441', Alexander Robel, 30 May 2024
    • AC5: 'Reply on RC2', James ONeill, 29 Jul 2024
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-441', Anonymous Referee #3, 03 Jun 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC3', James ONeill, 29 Jul 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (07 Aug 2024) by Ed Blockley
AR by James ONeill on behalf of the Authors (03 Oct 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Oct 2024) by Ed Blockley
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (28 Oct 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (06 Nov 2024)
RR by Tong Zhang (07 Nov 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (07 Nov 2024) by Ed Blockley
AR by James ONeill on behalf of the Authors (15 Nov 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (22 Nov 2024) by Ed Blockley
AR by James ONeill on behalf of the Authors (04 Dec 2024)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
We use an ice sheet model to simulate the Antarctic contribution to sea level over the 21st century under a range of future climates and varying how sensitive the ice sheet is to different processes. We find that ocean temperatures increase and more snow falls on the ice sheet under stronger warming scenarios. When the ice sheet is sensitive to ocean warming, ocean melt-driven loss exceeds snowfall-driven gains, meaning that the sea level contribution is greater with more climate warming.