Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2229-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2229-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Mechanisms and impacts of anomalous high-salinity shelf water formation in the Ross Sea
Xiaoqiao Wang
College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China
Key Laboratory of High Impact Weather (special), China Meteorological Administration, Changsha, China
Key Laboratory of Polar Ecosystem and Climate Change, Ministry of Education and School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Shanghai Key Laboratory of Polar Life and Environment Sciences, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
Shanghai Frontiers Science Center of Polar Science, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Key Laboratory for Polar Science, Polar Research Institute of China, Ministry of Natural Resources, Shanghai, 200136, China
Chuan Xie
Key Laboratory of Polar Ecosystem and Climate Change, Ministry of Education and School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Xi Zhao
School of Geospatial Engineering and Science, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, 519000, China
Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Observation of Polar Environment, Sun Yat-sen University, Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519082, China
Chuning Wang
Key Laboratory of Polar Ecosystem and Climate Change, Ministry of Education and School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Shanghai Key Laboratory of Polar Life and Environment Sciences, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
Shanghai Frontiers Science Center of Polar Science, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Heng Hu
Key Laboratory of Polar Ecosystem and Climate Change, Ministry of Education and School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Yuanjie Chen
Key Laboratory of Polar Ecosystem and Climate Change, Ministry of Education and School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 1954 Huashan Road, Shanghai, 200030, China
Related authors
No articles found.
Zhaoru Zhang, Chuan Xie, Chuning Wang, Yuanjie Chen, Heng Hu, and Xiaoqiao Wang
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1375–1393, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1375-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1375-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
A coupled fine-resolution ocean–ice model is developed for the Ross Sea and adjacent regions in Antarctica, a key area for the formation of global ocean bottom water, the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW), which affects global ocean circulation. The model has a high skill level in simulating sea ice production driving the AABW source water formation and AABW properties when assessed against observations. A model experiment shows a significant impact of ice shelf melting on the AABW characteristics.
Yan Sun, Shaoyin Wang, Xiao Cheng, Teng Li, Chong Liu, Yufang Ye, and Xi Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2760, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2760, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This manuscript proposes to combine semantic segmentation of ice region using a U-Net model and multi-stage detection of ice pixels using the Multi-textRG algorithm to achieve fine ice-water classification. Novel proccessings for the HV/HH polarization ratio and the GLCM textures, as well as the usage of regional growing, largely improve the method accuracy and robustness. The proposed algorithm framework achieved automated sea-ice labelling.
Xiaoqiao Wang, Zhaoru Zhang, Michael S. Dinniman, Petteri Uotila, Xichen Li, and Meng Zhou
The Cryosphere, 17, 1107–1126, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1107-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1107-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
The bottom water of the global ocean originates from high-salinity water formed in polynyas in the Southern Ocean where sea ice coverage is low. This study reveals the impacts of cyclones on sea ice and water mass formation in the Ross Ice Shelf Polynya using numerical simulations. Sea ice production is rapidly increased caused by enhancement in offshore wind, promoting high-salinity water formation in the polynya. Cyclones also modulate the transport of this water mass by wind-driven currents.
Related subject area
Discipline: Sea ice | Subject: Ocean Interactions
Finely-resolved along-track wave attenuation estimates in the Antarctic marginal ice zone from ICESat-2
Two-dimensional numerical simulations of mixing under ice keels
Seasonal and diurnal variability of sub-ice platelet layer thickness in McMurdo Sound from electromagnetic induction sounding
The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales
A method for constructing directional surface wave spectra from ICESat-2 altimetry
A model for the Arctic mixed layer circulation under a summertime lead: implications for the near-surface temperature maximum formation
Underestimation of oceanic carbon uptake in the Arctic Ocean: ice melt as predictor of the sea ice carbon pump
Uncertainty analysis of single- and multiple-size-class frazil ice models
Wave–sea-ice interactions in a brittle rheological framework
Experimental evidence for a universal threshold characterizing wave-induced sea ice break-up
High-resolution simulations of interactions between surface ocean dynamics and frazil ice
Frazil ice growth and production during katabatic wind events in the Ross Sea, Antarctica
Towards a coupled model to investigate wave–sea ice interactions in the Arctic marginal ice zone
Wave energy attenuation in fields of colliding ice floes – Part 2: A laboratory case study
Responses of sub-ice platelet layer thickening rate and frazil-ice concentration to variations in ice-shelf water supercooling in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica
Joey J. Voermans, Alexander D. Fraser, Jill Brouwer, Michael H. Meylan, Qingxiang Liu, and Alexander V. Babanin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2104, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2104, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Limited measurements of waves in sea ice exist, preventing our understanding of wave attenuation in sea ice under a wide range of ice conditions. Using satellite observations from ICESat-2 we observe an overall linear increase of the wave attenuation rate with distance into the marginal ice zone. While attenuation may vary greatly locally, this finding may provide opportunities for the modelling of waves in sea ice at global and climate scales when such fine detail may not be needed.
Sam De Abreu, Rosalie M. Cormier, Mikhail G. Schee, Varvara E. Zemskova, Erica Rosenblum, and Nicolas Grisouard
The Cryosphere, 18, 3159–3176, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3159-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3159-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Arctic sea ice is becoming more mobile and thinner, which will affect the upper Arctic Ocean in unforeseen ways. Using numerical simulations, we find that mixing by ice keels (ridges underlying sea ice) depends significantly on their speeds and depths and the density structure of the upper ocean. Large uncertainties in our results highlight the need for more realistic numerical simulations and better measurements of ice keel characteristics.
Gemma M. Brett, Greg H. Leonard, Wolfgang Rack, Christian Haas, Patricia J. Langhorne, Natalie J. Robinson, and Anne Irvin
The Cryosphere, 18, 3049–3066, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3049-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3049-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Glacial meltwater with ice crystals flows from beneath ice shelves, causing thicker sea ice with sub-ice platelet layers (SIPLs) beneath. Thicker sea ice and SIPL reveal where and how much meltwater is outflowing. We collected continuous measurements of sea ice and SIPL. In winter, we observed rapid SIPL growth with strong winds. In spring, SIPLs grew when tides caused offshore circulation. Wind-driven and tidal circulation influence glacial meltwater outflow from ice shelf cavities.
Elena Bianco, Doroteaciro Iovino, Simona Masina, Stefano Materia, and Paolo Ruggieri
The Cryosphere, 18, 2357–2379, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2357-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2357-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Changes in ocean heat transport and surface heat fluxes in recent decades have altered the Arctic Ocean heat budget and caused warming of the upper ocean. Using two eddy-permitting ocean reanalyses, we show that this has important implications for sea ice variability. In the Arctic regional seas, upper-ocean heat content acts as an important precursor for sea ice anomalies on sub-seasonal timescales, and this link has strengthened since the 2000s.
Momme C. Hell and Christopher Horvat
The Cryosphere, 18, 341–361, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-341-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-341-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Sea ice is heavily impacted by waves on its margins, and we currently do not have routine observations of waves in sea ice. Here we propose two methods to separate the surface waves from the sea-ice height observations along each ICESat-2 track using machine learning. Both methods together allow us to follow changes in the wave height through the sea ice.
Alberto Alvarez
The Cryosphere, 17, 3343–3361, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3343-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3343-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
A near-surface temperature maximum (NSTM) layer is typically observed under different Arctic basins. Although its development seems to be related to solar heating in leads, its formation mechanism is under debate. This study uses numerical modeling in an idealized framework to demonstrate that the NSTM layer forms under a summer lead exposed to a combination of calm and moderate wind periods. Future warming of this layer could modify acoustic propagation with implications for marine mammals.
Benjamin Richaud, Katja Fennel, Eric C. J. Oliver, Michael D. DeGrandpre, Timothée Bourgeois, Xianmin Hu, and Youyu Lu
The Cryosphere, 17, 2665–2680, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2665-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2665-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Sea ice is a dynamic carbon reservoir. Its seasonal growth and melt modify the carbonate chemistry in the upper ocean, with consequences for the Arctic Ocean carbon sink. Yet, the importance of this process is poorly quantified. Using two independent approaches, this study provides new methods to evaluate the error in air–sea carbon flux estimates due to the lack of biogeochemistry in ice in earth system models. Those errors range from 5 % to 30 %, depending on the model and climate projection.
Fabien Souillé, Cédric Goeury, and Rem-Sophia Mouradi
The Cryosphere, 17, 1645–1674, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1645-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Models that can predict temperature and ice crystal formation (frazil) in water are important for river and coastal engineering. Indeed, frazil has direct impact on submerged structures and often precedes the formation of ice cover. In this paper, an uncertainty analysis of two mathematical models that simulate supercooling and frazil is carried out within a probabilistic framework. The presented methodology offers new insight into the models and their parameterization.
Guillaume Boutin, Timothy Williams, Pierre Rampal, Einar Olason, and Camille Lique
The Cryosphere, 15, 431–457, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-431-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-431-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we investigate the interactions of surface ocean waves with sea ice. We focus on the evolution of sea ice after it has been fragmented by the waves. Fragmented sea ice is expected to experience less resistance to deformation. We reproduce this evolution using a new coupling framework between a wave model and the recently developed sea ice model neXtSIM. We find that waves can significantly increase the mobility of compact sea ice over wide areas in the wake of storm events.
Joey J. Voermans, Jean Rabault, Kirill Filchuk, Ivan Ryzhov, Petra Heil, Aleksey Marchenko, Clarence O. Collins III, Mohammed Dabboor, Graig Sutherland, and Alexander V. Babanin
The Cryosphere, 14, 4265–4278, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4265-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4265-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
In this work we demonstrate the existence of an observational threshold which identifies when waves are most likely to break sea ice. This threshold is based on information from two recent field campaigns, supplemented with existing observations of sea ice break-up. We show that both field and laboratory observations tend to converge to a single quantitative threshold at which the wave-induced sea ice break-up takes place, which opens a promising avenue for operational forecasting models.
Agnieszka Herman, Maciej Dojczman, and Kamila Świszcz
The Cryosphere, 14, 3707–3729, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3707-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3707-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Under typical conditions favorable for sea ice formation in many regions (strong wind and waves, low air temperature), ice forms not at the sea surface but within the upper, turbulent layer of the ocean. Although interactions between ice and ocean dynamics are very important for the evolution of sea ice cover, many aspects of them are poorly understood. We use a numerical model to analyze three-dimensional water circulation and ice transport and show that ice strongly modifies that circulation.
Lisa Thompson, Madison Smith, Jim Thomson, Sharon Stammerjohn, Steve Ackley, and Brice Loose
The Cryosphere, 14, 3329–3347, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3329-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3329-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The offshore winds around Antarctica can reach hurricane strength and produce intense cooling, causing the surface ocean to form a slurry of seawater and ice crystals. For the first time, we observed a buildup of heat and salt in the surface ocean, caused by loose ice crystal formation. We conclude that up to 1 m of ice was formed per day by the intense cooling, suggesting that unconsolidated crystals may be an important part of the total freezing that happens around Antarctica.
Guillaume Boutin, Camille Lique, Fabrice Ardhuin, Clément Rousset, Claude Talandier, Mickael Accensi, and Fanny Girard-Ardhuin
The Cryosphere, 14, 709–735, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-709-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-709-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate the interactions of surface ocean waves with sea ice taking place at the interface between the compact sea ice cover and the open ocean. We use a newly developed coupling framework between a wave and an ocean–sea ice numerical model. Our results show how the push on sea ice exerted by waves changes the amount and the location of sea ice melting, with a strong impact on the ocean surface properties close to the ice edge.
Agnieszka Herman, Sukun Cheng, and Hayley H. Shen
The Cryosphere, 13, 2901–2914, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-2901-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-2901-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Sea ice interactions with waves are extensively studied in recent years, but mechanisms leading to wave energy attenuation in sea ice remain poorly understood. One of the reasons limiting progress in modelling is a lack of observational data for model validation. The paper presents an analysis of laboratory observations of waves propagating in colliding ice floes. We show that wave attenuation is sensitive to floe size and wave period. A numerical model is calibrated to reproduce this behaviour.
Chen Cheng, Adrian Jenkins, Paul R. Holland, Zhaomin Wang, Chengyan Liu, and Ruibin Xia
The Cryosphere, 13, 265–280, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-265-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-265-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The sub-ice platelet layer (SIPL) under fast ice is most prevalent in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica. Using a modified plume model, we investigated the responses of SIPL thickening rate and frazil concentration to variations in ice shelf water supercooling in McMurdo Sound. It would be key to parameterizing the relevant process in more complex three-dimensional, primitive equation ocean models, which relies on the knowledge of the suspended frazil size spectrum within the ice–ocean boundary layer.
Cited articles
Arrigo, K. R., van Dijken, G., and Long, M.: Coastal Southern Ocean: A strong anthropogenic CO2 sink, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L21602, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL035624, 2008.
Assmann, K., Hellmer, H. H., and Beckmann, A.: Seasonal variation in circulation and water mass distribution on the Ross Sea continental shelf, Antarct. Sci., 15, 3–11, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102003001007, 2003.
Bromwich, D. H., Liu, Z., Rogers, A. N., and Van Woert, M. L.: Winter atmospheric forcing of the Ross Sea Polynya, in: Ocean, Ice and Atmosphere: Interactions at the Antarctic Continental Margin, edited by: Jacobs, S. S. and Weiss, R. F., AGU, Washington, DC, 75, 101–133, https://doi.org/10.1029/AR075p0101, 1998.
Budgell, W. P.: Numerical simulation of ice-ocean variability in the Barents Sea region, Ocean Dynam., 55, 370–387, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-005-0008-3, 2005.
Budillon, G., Pacciaroni, M., Cozzi, S., Rivaro, P., Catalano, G., Ianni, C., and Cantoni, C.: An optimum multiparameter mixing analysis of the shelf waters in the Ross Sea, Antarct. Sci., 15, 105–118, https://doi.org/10.1017/S095410200300110X, 2003.
Brown, W. S. and Irish, J. D.: The annual variation of water mass structure in the Gulf of Maine: 1986–1987, J. Mar. Res., 51, 53–107, https://doi.org/10.1357/0022240933223828, 1993.
Castagno, P., Falco, P., Dinniman, M. S., Spezie, G., and Budillon, G.: Temporal variability of the Circumpolar Deep Water inflow onto the Ross Sea continental shelf, J. Mar. Syst., 166, 37–49, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2016.07.007, 2017.
Castagno, P., Capozzi, V., DiTullio, G. R., Falco, P., Fusco, G., Rintoul, S. R., Spezie, G., and Budillon, G.: Rebound of shelf water salinity in the Ross Sea, Nat. Commun., 10, 5441, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13083-8, 2019.
Chen, Y., Zhang, Z., Wang, X., Liu, X., and Zhou, M.: Interannual variations of heat budget in the lower layer of the eastern Ross Sea shelf and the forcing mechanisms in the Southern Ocean State Estimate, Int. J. Climatol., 43, 5055–5076, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8132, 2023.
Cheng, Z., Pang, X., Zhao, X., and Stein, A.: Heat flux sources analysis to the Ross Ice Shelf Polynya ice production time series and the impact of wind forcing, Remote Sens., 11, 188, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11020188, 2019.
Comiso, J. C. and Gordon, A. L.: Interannual variability in summer sea ice minimum, coastal polynyas, and bottom water formation in the Weddell Sea, in: Antarctic Sea Ice: Physical Processes, Interactions, and Variability, edited by: Jeffries, M., AGU, Washington, DC, 74, 293–315, https://doi.org/10.1029/AR074p029, 1998.
Dale, E. R., McDonald, A. J., Coggins, J. H. J., and Rack, W.: Atmospheric forcing of sea ice anomalies in the Ross Sea polynya region, The Cryosphere, 11, 267–280, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-267-2017, 2017.
Ding, Y., Cheng, X., Li, X., Shokr, M., Yuan, J., Yang, Q., and Hui, F.: Specific relationship between the surface air temperature and the area of the Terra Nova Bay Polynya, Antarctica, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 532–544, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-020-9146-2, 2020.
Dinniman, M. S., Klinck, J. M., and Smith, W. O.: A model study of Circumpolar Deep Water on the West Antarctic Peninsula and Ross Sea continental shelves, Deep-Sea Res. Pt. II, 58, 1508–1523, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.11.013, 2011.
Dinniman, M. S., Klinck, J. M., Bai, L. S., Bromwich, D. H., Hines, K. M., and Holland, D. M.: The effect of atmospheric forcing resolution on delivery of ocean heat to the Antarctic floating ice shelves, J. Climate, 28, 6067–6085, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00374.1, 2015.
Dinniman, M. S., Asay-Davis, X. S., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Holland, P. R., Jenkins, A., and Timmermann, R.: Modeling ice shelf/ocean interaction in Antarctica: A review, Oceanography, 29, 144–153, https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2016.106, 2016.
Dotto, T. S., Garabato, A. N., Bacon, S., Tsamados, M., Holland, P. R., Hooley, J., Frajka-Williams, E., Ridout, A., and Meredith, M. P.: Variability of the Ross Gyre, Southern Ocean: Drivers and Responses Revealed by Satellite Altimetry, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 6195–6204, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078607, 2018.
Egbert, G. D. and Erofeeva, S. Y.: Efficient inverse modeling of barotropic ocean tides, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 19, 183–204, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0426(2002)019<0183:EIMOBO>2.0.CO;2, 2002.
Fairall, C. W., Bradley, E. F., Hare, J. E., Grachev, A. A., and Edson, J. B.: Bulk Parameterization of Air–Sea Fluxes: Updates and Verification for the COARE Algorithm, J. Climate, 16, 571–591, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0571:BPOASF>2.0.CO;2, 2003.
Gao, M., Kim, S. J., Yang, J., Liu, J., Jiang, T., Su, B., Wang, Y., and Huang, J.: Historical fidelity and future change of Amundsen Sea Low under 1.5 °C–4 °C global warming in CMIP6, Atmos. Res., 255, 105533, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105533, 2021.
Gordon, A. L., Orsi, A. H., Muench, R., Huber, B. A., Zambianchi, E., and Visbeck, M.: Western Ross Sea continental slope gravity currents, Deep-Sea Res. Pt. II, 56, 796–817, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.10.015, 2009.
Grieger, J., Leckebusch, G. C., Raible, C. C., Rudeva, I., and Simmonds, I.: Subantarctic cyclones identified by 14 tracking methods, and their role for moisture transports into the continent, Tellus A, 70, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2018.1454808, 2018.
Gruber, N., Landschützer, P., and Lovenduski, N. S.: The variable Southern Ocean carbon sink, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 11, 1–28, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-121916-063407, 2019.
Guo, G., Gao, L., and Shi, J.: Modulation of dense shelf water salinity variability in the western Ross Sea associated with the Amundsen Sea Low, Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 014004, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc995, 2021.
Häkkinen, S. and Mellor, G. L.: Modeling the seasonal variability of a coupled Arctic ice-ocean system, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 20285–20304, https://doi.org/10.1029/92JC02037, 1992.
Hallberg, R.: Using a resolution function to regulate parameterizations of oceanic mesoscale eddy effects, Ocean Modell., 72, 92–103, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2013.08.007, 2013.
Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A., Muñoz‐Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Abellan, X., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P., Biavati, G., Bidlot, J., Bonavita, M., De Chiara, G., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D., Diamantakis, M., Dragani, R., Flemming, J., Forbes, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A., Haimberger, L., Healy, S., Hogan, R. J., Hólm, E., Janisková, M., Keeley, S., Laloyaux, P., Lopez, P., Lupu, C., Radnoti, G., De Rosnay, P., Rozum, I., Vamborg, F., Villaume, S., and Thépaut, J.: The ERA5 global reanalysis, Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc., 146, 1999–2049, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3803, 2020.
Heywood, K. J., Locarnini, R. A., Frew, R. D., Dennis, P. F., and King, B. A.: Transport and water masses of the Antarctic slope front system in the eastern Weddell Sea, in: Ocean, Ice, and Atmosphere: Interactions at the Antarctic Continental Margin, AGU Antarctic Research Series, edited by: Jacobs, S. S. and Weiss, R. F., 75, 203–220, https://doi.org/10.1029/AR075p0203, 1985.
Heywood, K. J., Naveira Garabato, A. C., Stevens, D. P., and Muench, R. D.: On the fate of the Antarctic slope front and the origin of the Weddell front, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 109, 2003JC002053, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JC002053, 2004.
Holland, D. M. and Jenkins, A.: Modeling Thermodynamic Ice–Ocean Interactions at the Base of an Ice Shelf, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 29, 1787–1800, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1999)029<1787:MTIOIA>2.0.CO;2, 1999.
Hosking, J. S., Orr, A., Bracegirdle, T. J., and Turner, J.: Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 367–376, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067143, 2016.
Hunke, E. C.: Viscous-Plastic Sea Ice Dynamics with the EVP Model: Linearization Issues, J. Comput. Phys., 170, 18–38, https://doi.org/10.1006/jcph.2001.6710, 2001.
Hunke, E. C. and Dukowicz, J. K.: An Elastic–Viscous–Plastic Model for Sea Ice Dynamics, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 1849–1867, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1997)027<1849:AEVPMF>2.0.CO;2, 1997.
Jacobs, S., Giulivi, C., and Dutrieux, P.: Persistent Ross Sea freshening from imbalance West Antarctic ice shelf melting, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 127, e2021JC017808, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017808, 2022.
Jendersie, S., Williams, M. J. M., Langhorne, P. J., and Robertson, R.: The Density-Driven Winter Intensification of the Ross Sea Circulation, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 123, 7702–7724, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC013965, 2018.
Josey, S. A., Meijers, A. J. S., Blaker, A. T., Grist, J. P., Mecking, J., and Ayres, H. C.: Record-low Antarctic sea ice in 2023 increased ocean heat loss and storms, Nat., 636, 635–639, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08368-y, 2024.
Kim, C. S., Kim, T. W., Cho, K. H., Ha, H. K., Lee, S. H., Kim, H. C., and Lee, J. H.: Variability of the Antarctic Coastal Current in the Amundsen Sea, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 181, 123–133, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2016.08.004, 2016.
Kusahara, K. and Hasumi, H.: Modeling Antarctic ice shelf responses to future climate changes and impacts on the ocean, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 118, 2454–2475, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrc.20166, 2013.
Kusahara, K. and Hasumi, H.: Pathways of basal meltwater from Antarctic ice shelves: A model study, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 119, 5690–5704, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014jc009915, 2014.
Large, W. G., McWilliams, J. C., and Doney, S. C.: Oceanic vertical mixing: A review and a model with nonlocal boundary layer parameterization, Rev. Geophys., 32, 363–403, https://doi.org/10.1029/94RG01872, 1994.
Li, Q., England, M. H., Hogg, A. M., Rintoul, S. R., and Morrison, A. K.: Abyssal ocean overturning slowdown and warming driven by Antarctic meltwater, Nature, 615, 841–847, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-05762-w, 2023.
Li, X., Cai, W., Meehl, G., Chen, D., Yuan, X., Raphael, M., Holland, D., Ding, Q., Fogt, R., Markle, B., Wang, G., Bromwich, D., Turner, J., Xie, S.-P., Steig, E., Gille, S., Xiao, C., Wu, B., Lazzara, M., and Song, C.: Tropical teleconnection impacts on Antarctic climate changes, Nat. Rev. Earth Environ., 2, 680–698, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00204-5, 2021.
Liu, C., Wang, Z., Cheng, C., Xia, R., Li, B., and Xie, Z.: Modeling modified Circumpolar Deep Water intrusions onto the Prydz Bay continental shelf, East Antarctica, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 122, 5198–5217, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JC012336, 2017.
Liu, J., Zhu, Z., and Chen, D.: Lowest Antarctic Sea Ice Record Broken for the Second Year in a Row, Ocean-Land-Atmos. Res., 2, 0007, https://doi.org/10.34133/olar.0007, 2023.
MacLachlan, C., Arribas, A., Peterson, K. A., Maidens, A., Fereday, D., Scaife, A. A., Gordon, M., Vellinga, M., Williams, A., Comer, R. E., Camp, J., Xavier, P., and Madec, G.: Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): A high-resolution seasonal forecast system, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141, 1072–1084, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2396, 2015.
Massom, R. A., Harris, P. T., Michael, K. J., and Potter, M. J.: The distribution and formative processes of latent-heat polynyas in East Antarctica, Ann. Glaciol., 27, 420–426, https://doi.org/10.3189/1998AoG27-1-420-426, 1998.
Mathiot, P., Barnier, B., Gallée, H., Molines, J. M., Sommer, J. L., Juza, M., and Penduff, T.: Introducing katabatic winds in global ERA40 fields to simulate their impacts on the Southern Ocean and sea-ice, Ocean Modell., 35, 146–160, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.07.001, 2010.
Mathiot, P., Jourdain, N. C., Barnier, B., Gallée, H., Molines, J. M., Le Sommer, J., and Penduff, T.: Sensitivity of coastal polynyas and high-salinity shelf water production in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, to the atmospheric forcing, Ocean Dynam., 62, 701–723, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-012-0531-y, 2012.
Mellor, G. L. and Kantha, L.: An ice-ocean coupled model, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 94, 10937–10954, https://doi.org/10.1029/JC094iC08p10937, 1989.
Meredith, M. P.: Replenishing the abyss, Nat. Geosci., 6, 166–167, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1727, 2013.
Morales Maqueda, M. A., Willmott, A. J., and Biggs, N. R. T.: Polynya dynamics: A review of observations and modeling, Rev. Geophys., 42, RG1004, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002RG000116, 2004.
Morlighem, M., Rignot, E., Binder, T., Blankenship, D., Drews, R., Eagles, G., Eisen, O., Ferraccioli, F., Forsberg, R., Fretwell, P., Goel, V., Greenbaum, J. S., Gudmundsson, H., Guo, J., Helm, V., Hofstede, C., Howat, I., Humbert, A., Jokat, W., Karlsson, N. B., Lee, W. S., Matsuoka, K., Millan, R., Mouginot, J., Paden, J., Pattyn, F., Roberts, J., Rosier, S., Ruppel, A., Seroussi, H., Smith, E. C., Steinhage, D., Sun, B., Broeke, M. R. V. D., Ommen, T. D. V., Wessem, M. V., and Young, D. A.: Deep glacial troughs and stabilizing ridges unveiled beneath the margins of the Antarctic ice sheet, Nat. Geosci., 13, 132–137, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0510-8, 2020.
Morrison, A. K., Hogg, A. M., England, M. H., and Spence, P.: Warm Circumpolar Deep Water transport toward Antarctica driven by local dense water export in canyons, Sci. Adv., 6, eaav2516, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav2516, 2020.
Murakami, K., Nomura, D., Hashida, G., Nakaoka, S., Kitade, Y., Hirano, D., Hirawake, T., and Oshima, K. I.: Strong biological carbon uptake and carbonate chemistry associated with dense shelf water outflows in the Cape Darnley polynya, East Antarctica, Mar. Chem., 225, 103842, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2020.103842, 2020.
Murray, R. J. and Simmonds, I.: A numerical scheme for tracking cyclone centres from digital data. Part I: development and operation of the scheme, Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 39, 155–166, 1991.
Nakata, K., Ohshima, K. I., and Nihashi, S.: Mapping of Active Frazil for Antarctic Coastal Polynyas, With an Estimation of Sea-Ice Production, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091353, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091353, 2021.
Nakayama, Y., Timmermann, R., Rodehacke, C. B., Schröder, M., and Hellmer, H. H.: Modeling the spreading of glacial meltwater from the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 7942–7949, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061600, 2014.
Nakayama, Y., Timmermann, R., and Hellmer, H. H.: Impact of West Antarctic ice shelf melting on Southern Ocean hydrography, The Cryosphere, 14, 2205–2216, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2205-2020, 2020.
Naughten, K. A., Holland, P. R., and De Rydt, J.: Unavoidable future increase in west Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century, Nat. Clim. Chang., 13, 1222–1228, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x, 2023.
Ohshima, K. I., Fukamachi, Y., Williams, G. D., Nihashi, S., Roquet, F., Kitade, Y., Tamura, T., Hirano, D., Herraiz-Borreguero, L., Field, I., Hindell, M., Aoki, S., and Wakatsuchi, M.: Antarctic bottom water production by intense sea-ice formation in the Cape Darnley polynya, Nat. Geosci., 6, 235–240, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1738, 2013.
Orsi, A. H. and Wiederwohl, C. L.: A recount of Ross Sea water, Deep-Sea Res. Pt. II, 56, 778–795, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.10.033, 2009.
Prend, C. J., MacGilchrist, G. A., Manucharyan, G. E., Pang, R. Q., Moorman, R., Thompson, A. F., Griffies, S. M., Mazloff, M. R., Talley, L. D., and Gille, S. T.: Ross gyre variability modulates oceanic heat supply toward the west Antarctic continental shelf, Commun. Earth Environ., 5, 47, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01207-y, 2024.
Purich, A. and Doddridge, E. W.: Record low Antarctic sea ice coverage indicates a new sea ice state, Commun. Earth Environ., 4, 314, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00961-9, 2023.
Rignot, E., Jacobs, S., Mouginot, J., and Scheuchl, B.: Ice-shelf melting around Antarctica, Science, 341, 266–270, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1235798, 2013.
Rusciano, E., Budillon, G., Fusco, G., and Spezie, G.: Evidence of atmosphere-sea ice-ocean coupling in the Terra Nova Bay Polynya (Ross Sea–Antarctica), Cont. Shelf Res., 61–62, 112–124, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2013.04.002, 2013.
Sen Gupta, A. and England, M. H.: Coupled ocean–atmosphere–ice response to variations in the Southern Annular Mode, J. Climate, 19, 4457–4486, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3843.1, 2006.
Shchepetkin, A. F. and McWilliams, J. C.: Correction and commentary for “Ocean forecasting in terrain-following coordinates: Formulation and skill assessment of the regional ocean modeling system” by Haidvogel et al., J. Comput. Phys., 228, 8985–9000, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2009.09.002, 2009.
Silvano, A., Foppert, A., Rintoul, S. R., Holland, P. R., Tamura, T., Kimura, N., Castagno, P., Falco, P., Budillon, G., Haumann, F. A., Naveira Garabato, A. C., and Macdonald, A. M.: Recent recovery of Antarctic Bottom Water formation in the Ross Sea driven by climate anomalies, Nat. Geosci., 13, 780–786, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-00655-3, 2020.
Smith, W., Sedwick, P., Arrigo, K., Ainley, D., and Orsi, A.: The Ross Sea in a sea of change, Oceanography, 25, 90–103, https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2012.80, 2012.
Solodoch, A., Stewart, A. L., Hogg, A. M., Morrison, A. K., Kiss, A. E., Thompson, A. F., Purkey, S. G., and Cimoli, L.: How does Antarctic Bottom Water cross the Southern Ocean?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2021GL097211, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097211, 2022.
Stern, A. A., Dinniman, M. S., Zagorodnov, V., Tyler, S. W., and Holland, D. M.: Intrusion of warm surface water beneath the McMurdo Ice Shelf, Antarctica, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 118, 7036–7048, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC008842, 2013.
Stewart, A. L. and Thompson, A. F.: Eddy-mediated transport of warm Circumpolar Deep Water across the Antarctic Shelf Break, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 432–440, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062281, 2015.
Stewart, A. L., Klocker, A., and Menemenlis, D.: Acceleration and Overturning of the Antarctic Slope Current by Winds, Eddies, and Tides, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 49, 2043–2074, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0221.1, 2019.
St-Laurent, P., Klinck, J. M., and Dinniman, M. S.: On the role of coastal troughs in the circulation of warm Circumpolar Deep Water on Antarctic shelves, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 43, 51–64, https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-11-0237.1, 2013.
Tamura, T., Ohshima, K. I., Fraser, A. D., and Williams, G. D.: Sea ice production variability in Antarctic coastal polynyas, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 121, 2967–2979, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011537, 2016.
Thompson, L., Smith, M., Thomson, J., Stammerjohn, S., Ackley, S., and Loose, B.: Frazil ice growth and production during katabatic wind events in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, The Cryosphere, 14, 3329–3347, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3329-2020, 2020.
Uotila, P., Pezza, A. B., Cassano, J. J., Keay, K., and Lynch, A. H.: A comparison of low-pressure system statistics derived from a high-resolution NWP output and three reanalysis products over the Southern Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D17115, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011583, 2009.
Uotila, P., Vihma, T., Pezza, A. B., Simmonds, I., Keay, K., and Lynch, A. H.: Relationships between Antarctic cyclones and surface conditions as derived from high-resolution numerical weather prediction data, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D07109, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015358, 2011.
Uotila, P., Vihma, T., and Tsukernik, M.: Close interactions between the Antarctic cyclone budget and large-scale atmospheric circulation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3237–3241, https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50556, 2013.
Wang, J., Luo, H., Yang, Q., Liu, J., Yu, L., Shi, Q., and Han, B.: An Unprecedented Record Low Antarctic Sea-ice Extent during Austral Summer 2022, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 39, 1591–1597, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2087-1, 2022a.
Wang, S., Liu, J., Cheng, X., Yang, D., Kerzenmacher, T., Li, X., Hu, Y., and Braesicke, P.: Contribution of the deepened Amundsen sea low to the record low Antarctic sea ice extent in February 2022, Environ. Res. Lett., 18, 054002, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc9d6, 2023a.
Wang, T., Wei, H., and Xiao, J.: Dynamic linkage between the interannual variability of the spring Ross Ice Shelf Polynya and the atmospheric circulation anomalies, Clim Dynam., 58, 831–840, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05936-0, 2022b.
Wang, X.: Mechanisms and impacts of anomalous high-salinity shelf water formation in the Ross Sea, Zenodo [data set], https://zenodo.org/records/15694437, 2025.
Wang, X., Zhang, Z., Wang, X., Vihma, T., Zhou, M., Yu, L., Uotila, P., and Sein, D. V.: Impacts of strong wind events on sea ice and water mass properties in Antarctic coastal polynyas, Clim. Dynam., 57, 3505–3528, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05878-7, 2021.
Wang, X., Zhang, Z., Dinniman, M. S., Uotila, P., Li, X., and Zhou, M.: The response of sea ice and high-salinity shelf water in the Ross Ice Shelf Polynya to cyclonic atmosphere circulations, The Cryosphere, 17, 1107–1126, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1107-2023, 2023b.
Weber, N. J., Lazzara, M. A., Keller, L. M., and Cassano, J. J.: The extreme wind events in the Ross Island Region of Antarctica, Weather Forecast., 31, 985–1000, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0125.1, 2016.
Wenta, M. and Cassano, J. J.: The atmospheric boundary layer and surface conditions during katabatic wind events over the Terra Nova Bay Polynya, Remote Sens., 12, 4160, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244160, 2020.
Whitworth III, T., Orsi, A. H., Kim, S. J., Nowlin, W. D., and Locarnini, R. A.: Water masses and mixing near the Antarctic slope front, in: Ocean, Ice, and Atmosphere: Interactions at the Antarctic Continental Margin, edited by: Jacobs, S. S. and Weiss, R. F., AGU, Washington, DC, 75, 1–27, https://doi.org/10.1029/AR075p0001, 2013.
Xie, C., Zhang, Z., Chen, Y., Wang, C., and Zhou, M.: The response of Ross Sea shelf water properties to enhanced Amundsen Sea ice shelf melting, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 129, e2024JC020919, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC020919, 2024.
Yabuki, T., Suga, T., Hanawa, K., Matsuoka, K., Kiwada, H., and Watanabe, T.: Possible source of the Antarctic Bottom Water in the Prydz Bay region, J. Oceanogr., 62, 649–655, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-006-0083-1, 2006.
Yan, L., Wang, Z., Liu, C., Wu, Y., Qin, Q., Sun, C., Qian, J., and Zhang, L.: The salinity budget of the Ross Sea continental shelf, Antarctica, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 128, e2022JC018979, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018979, 2023.
Zhang, Z., Uotila, P., Stössel, A., Vihma, T., Liu, H., and Zhong, Y.: Seasonal Southern Hemisphere multi-variable reflection of the Southern Annular Mode in atmosphere and ocean reanalyses, Clim. Dynam., 50, 1451–1470, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3698-6, 2018.
Zhang, Z., Xie, C., Castagno, P., England, M. H., Wang, X., Dinniman, M. S., Silvano, A., Wang, C., Zhou, L., Li, X., Zhou, M., and Budillon, G.: Evidence for large-scale climate forcing of dense shelf water variability in the Ross Sea, Nat. Commun., 15, 8190, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52524-x, 2024.
Zhang, Z., Xie, C., Wang, C., Chen, Y., Hu, H., and Wang, X.: The Ross Sea and Amundsen Sea Ice–Sea Model (RAISE v1.0): a high-resolution ocean–sea ice–ice shelf coupling model for simulating the Dense Shelf Water and Antarctic Bottom Water in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1375–1393, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1375-2025, 2025.
Zheng, F., Li, J., Clark, R. T., and Nnamchi, H. C.: Simulation and projection of the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode in CMIP5 models, J. Climate, 26, 9860–9879, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00204.1, 2013.
Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K., Wu, R., and Chen, D.: Impact of Data Resolution on Tracking Southern Ocean Cyclones, Mon. Weather Rev., 151, 3–22, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1, 2023.
Short summary
Global bottom water originates from high-salinity shelf water (HSSW), formed by intense sea ice production (SIP) in the Southern Ocean. This study uses numerical outputs for the Ross Sea to examine the extreme HSSW event in 2007, when atmospheric circulations enhanced SIP, resulting in the highest HSSW volume in a decade. However, salinity was low, owing to increased meltwater. The findings highlight the complex interplay between SIP and ice shelf melting, with key implications for ocean processes.
Global bottom water originates from high-salinity shelf water (HSSW), formed by intense sea ice...