Articles | Volume 18, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5045-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5045-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
15 Nov 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 15 Nov 2024
| 15 Nov 2024
Twenty-first century global glacier evolution under CMIP6 scenarios and the role of glacier-specific observations
Harry Zekollari
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
Matthias Huss
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Department of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland
Lilian Schuster
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences (ACINN), Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Fabien Maussion
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences (ACINN), Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Bristol Glaciology Centre, School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
David R. Rounce
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Rodrigo Aguayo
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Nicolas Champollion
Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement (IGE), CNES, Grenoble, France
Loris Compagno
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Swiss Reinsurance Company Ltd (Swiss Re), Zurich, Switzerland
Romain Hugonnet
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Ben Marzeion
Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Seyedhamidreza Mojtabavi
Institute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Center for International Development and Environmental Research, Justus Liebig University of Giessen, Giessen, Germany
Daniel Farinotti
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
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Cited
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information P. Pfleiderer et al. 10.1038/s41561-024-01597-w
- Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023 M. Zemp et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z
- Future glacio-hydrological changes in the Andes: a focus on near-future projections up to 2050 A. Caro et al. 10.1038/s41598-025-88069-2
- Recent observations and glacier modeling point towards near-complete glacier loss in western Austria (Ötztal and Stubai mountain range) if 1.5 °C is not met L. Hartl et al. 10.5194/tc-19-1431-2025
- Evaluating the affecting factors of glacier mass balance in Tanggula Mountains using explainable machine learning and the open global glacier model Q. Xu et al. 10.1007/s11629-024-9047-4
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information P. Pfleiderer et al. 10.1038/s41561-024-01597-w
- Community estimate of global glacier mass changes from 2000 to 2023 M. Zemp et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08545-z
- Future glacio-hydrological changes in the Andes: a focus on near-future projections up to 2050 A. Caro et al. 10.1038/s41598-025-88069-2
- Recent observations and glacier modeling point towards near-complete glacier loss in western Austria (Ötztal and Stubai mountain range) if 1.5 °C is not met L. Hartl et al. 10.5194/tc-19-1431-2025
Latest update: 23 Apr 2025
Co-editor-in-chief
This study brings together an impressive amount of data to come up with an updated estimate of global glacier loss until the year 2100. This is an important result in a climate change context, and one of a global dimension.
This study brings together an impressive amount of data to come up with an updated estimate of...
Short summary
Glaciers are major contributors to sea-level rise and act as key water resources. Here, we model the global evolution of glaciers under the latest generation of climate scenarios. We show that the type of observations used for model calibration can strongly affect the projections at the local scale. Our newly projected 21st century global mass loss is higher than the current community estimate as reported in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report.
Glaciers are major contributors to sea-level rise and act as key water resources. Here, we model...
