Articles | Volume 17, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-519-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-519-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Snow cover prediction in the Italian central Apennines using weather forecast and land surface numerical models
Edoardo Raparelli
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Dept. Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy
Center of Excellence Telesensing of Environment and Model Prediction of Severe Events (CETEMPS), L'Aquila, Italy
Paolo Tuccella
Center of Excellence Telesensing of Environment and Model Prediction of Severe Events (CETEMPS), L'Aquila, Italy
Dept. Physical and Chemical Sciences, Università degli Studi dell'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Italian Glaciological Committee, Turin, Italy
Valentina Colaiuda
Center of Excellence Telesensing of Environment and Model Prediction of Severe Events (CETEMPS), L'Aquila, Italy
Dept. Physical and Chemical Sciences, Università degli Studi dell'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy
Frank S. Marzano
Dept. Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy
Center of Excellence Telesensing of Environment and Model Prediction of Severe Events (CETEMPS), L'Aquila, Italy
deceased
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Snow redistribution in an intermediate-complexity snow hydrology modelling framework L. Quéno et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3533-2024
- Regional frequency analysis, bias correction and downscaling of ERA5-Land snow related variables S. Fontana et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100922
- Winter is coming for ski resorts: Insights from the Apennines (Italy) G. Bonanomi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-023-8539-y
- Analysis of Snow Cover in the Sibillini Mountains in Central Italy M. Gentilucci et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11030072
- Physically Constrained Fusion of Sentinel-1 and ERA5-Land for Daily 500-m Snow-Depth Retrieval Across Northern Hemisphere Mountains C. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2026.3713174
- The importance of model horizontal resolution for improved estimation of snow water equivalent in a mountainous region of western Canada S. Sabetghadam et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-887-2025
- Apennine Natural Pasture Areas: Soil, Plant, and Livestock Interactions and Ecosystem Characterization A. Fatica et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125238
- Estimated Accuracy of the Simulation of the Precipitation Forming Snowpack in the Urals according to Global Numerical Weather Prediction Models and the ERA5 Reanalysis N. Kalinin & A. Shikhov https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373925030021
- Using Artificial Neural Networks to Couple Satellite C-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry and Alpine3D Numerical Model for the Estimation of Snow Cover Extent, Height, and Density G. Palermo et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2023.3253804
- Assessment of snow model uncertainty in relation to the effect of a 1 °C warming using the snow modelling framework openAMUNDSEN E. Rottler et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2351-2026
- Snowfall events in the Cantabrian Mountains of northwestern Spain: WRF multiphysics ensemble assessment based on ground and multi-satellite observations A. Melón-Nava et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106719
- Correcting WRF cold temperature bias over the Qilian Mountains using MODIS dynamic albedo L. Meng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcar.2026.04.001
- On the role of local and large-scale atmospheric variability in snow cover duration: a case study of Montevergine Observatory (Southern Italy) C. Annella et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acc3e3
- Improving Representations of Snow Cover and Surface Energy Balance for Mountainous Meteorological Simulations over the Korean Peninsula W. Ko et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-026-00442-x
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Snow redistribution in an intermediate-complexity snow hydrology modelling framework L. Quéno et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3533-2024
- Regional frequency analysis, bias correction and downscaling of ERA5-Land snow related variables S. Fontana et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100922
- Winter is coming for ski resorts: Insights from the Apennines (Italy) G. Bonanomi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-023-8539-y
- Analysis of Snow Cover in the Sibillini Mountains in Central Italy M. Gentilucci et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11030072
- Physically Constrained Fusion of Sentinel-1 and ERA5-Land for Daily 500-m Snow-Depth Retrieval Across Northern Hemisphere Mountains C. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2026.3713174
- The importance of model horizontal resolution for improved estimation of snow water equivalent in a mountainous region of western Canada S. Sabetghadam et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-887-2025
- Apennine Natural Pasture Areas: Soil, Plant, and Livestock Interactions and Ecosystem Characterization A. Fatica et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125238
- Estimated Accuracy of the Simulation of the Precipitation Forming Snowpack in the Urals according to Global Numerical Weather Prediction Models and the ERA5 Reanalysis N. Kalinin & A. Shikhov https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373925030021
- Using Artificial Neural Networks to Couple Satellite C-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry and Alpine3D Numerical Model for the Estimation of Snow Cover Extent, Height, and Density G. Palermo et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2023.3253804
- Assessment of snow model uncertainty in relation to the effect of a 1 °C warming using the snow modelling framework openAMUNDSEN E. Rottler et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2351-2026
- Snowfall events in the Cantabrian Mountains of northwestern Spain: WRF multiphysics ensemble assessment based on ground and multi-satellite observations A. Melón-Nava et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106719
- Correcting WRF cold temperature bias over the Qilian Mountains using MODIS dynamic albedo L. Meng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcar.2026.04.001
- On the role of local and large-scale atmospheric variability in snow cover duration: a case study of Montevergine Observatory (Southern Italy) C. Annella et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acc3e3
- Improving Representations of Snow Cover and Surface Energy Balance for Mountainous Meteorological Simulations over the Korean Peninsula W. Ko et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-026-00442-x
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 19 Aug 2026
Short summary
We evaluate the skills of a single-layer (Noah) and a multi-layer (Alpine3D) snow model, forced with the Weather Research and Forecasting model, to reproduce snowpack properties observed in the Italian central Apennines. We found that Alpine3D reproduces the observed snow height and snow water equivalent better than Noah, while no particular model differences emerge on snow cover extent. Finally, we observed that snow settlement is mainly due to densification in Alpine3D and to melting in Noah.
We evaluate the skills of a single-layer (Noah) and a multi-layer (Alpine3D) snow model, forced...