Articles | Volume 15, issue 10
The Cryosphere, 15, 4675–4702, 2021
The Cryosphere, 15, 4675–4702, 2021

Research article 06 Oct 2021

Research article | 06 Oct 2021

Quantifying the potential future contribution to global mean sea level from the Filchner–Ronne basin, Antarctica

Emily A. Hill et al.

Model code and software

Úa ice flow model G. H. Gudmundsson

PICO model for the ice flow model Úa S. H. R. Rosier and R. Reese

Short summary
Using an ice flow model and uncertainty quantification methods, we provide probabilistic projections of future sea level rise from the Filchner–Ronne region of Antarctica. We find that it is most likely that this region will contribute negatively to sea level rise over the next 300 years, largely as a result of increased surface mass balance. We identify parameters controlling ice shelf melt and snowfall contribute most to uncertainties in projections.