Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
The Cryosphere, 15, 4145–4163, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4145-2021
The Cryosphere, 15, 4145–4163, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4145-2021
Research article
30 Aug 2021
Research article | 30 Aug 2021

Controls of outbursts of moraine-dammed lakes in the greater Himalayan region

Melanie Fischer et al.

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Cited articles

Aggarwal, A., Jain, S. K., Lohani, A. K., and Jain, N.: Glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment using combined approaches of remote sensing, GIS and dam break modelling, Geomat. Nat. Haz. Risk, 7, 18–36, https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2013.862573, 2016. 
Allen, S. K., Rastner, P., Arora, M., Huggel, C., and Stoffel, M.: Lake outburst and debris flow disaster at Kedarnath, June 2013: hydrometeorological triggering and topographic predisposition, Landslides, 13, 1479–1491, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0584-3, 2016. 
Allen, S. K., Zhang, G., Wang, W., Yao, T., and Bolch, T.: Potentially dangerous glacial lakes across the Tibetan Plateau revealed using a large-scale automated assessment approach, Sci. Bull., 64, 435–445, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2019.03.011, 2019. 
Austin, P. C., Tu, J. V., and Alter, D. A.: Comparing hierarchical modeling with traditional logistic regression analysis among patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction: Should we be analyzing cardiovascular outcomes data differently?, Am. Heart J., 145, 27–35, https://doi.org/10.1067/mhj.2003.23, 2003. 
Bajracharya, S. R. and Shrestha, B.: The Status of Glaciers in the Hindu Kush–Himalayan Region, International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, 2011. 
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Short summary
Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) in the greater Himalayan region threaten local communities and infrastructure. We assess this hazard objectively using fully data-driven models. We find that lake and catchment area, as well as regional glacier-mass balance, credibly raised the susceptibility of a glacial lake in our study area to produce a sudden outburst. However, our models hardly support the widely held notion that rapid lake growth increases GLOF susceptibility.